Ace matchups

ATP hard aces per match and aces allowed

PickFinder Team•Updated: Nov 2, 2026

For tennis aces props, read both players. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard hits the most aces on ATP hard courts at 18 per match, against an average of 7.3. Aleksandar Kovacevic gets aced the most, 13.6 per match and 1.08 per return game, while Denis Shapovalov gets aced the least at 0.26 per return game. Reading both sides predicted the last 12 weeks of aces better than the server alone, with a correlation of 0.71 instead of 0.63.

ATP hard aces per match: 7.3
Most aces: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: 18.0
Most allowed per return game: Aleksandar Kovacevic: 1.08
Fewest allowed per return game: Denis Shapovalov: 0.26

Most aces per match, ATP hard

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardWorld No. 145	18.0
Hubert HurkaczWorld No. 29	13.9
Martin DammWorld No. 102	13.4
Alexander BublikWorld No. 26	13.4
Taylor FritzWorld No. 12	12.9
Quentin HalysWorld No. 46	12.7
Arthur RinderknechWorld No. 68	12.3
Jakub MensikWorld No. 16	12.1
Alexander ZverevWorld No. 1	11.7
Aleksandar KovacevicWorld No. 84	11.6

Ace magnets, ATP hard

Aleksandar KovacevicWorld No. 84	13.6 a match
Hamad MedjedovicWorld No. 77	12.0 a match
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaWorld No. 17	12.1 a match
Tallon GriekspoorWorld No. 50	11.2 a match
Alexandre MullerWorld No. 146	10.6 a match
Marin ČilićWorld No. 96	10.1 a match
Kamil MajchrzakWorld No. 82	11.4 a match
Miomir KecmanovicWorld No. 60	11.0 a match
Frances TiafoeWorld No. 8	10.9 a match
Zachary SvajdaWorld No. 75	9.8 a match

Ace walls, ATP hard

Denis ShapovalovWorld No. 51	3.1 a match
Daniil MedvedevWorld No. 5	3.5 a match
Alexander BlockxWorld No. 28	4.2 a match
Lorenzo SonegoWorld No. 106	4.0 a match
Daniel Merida AguilarWorld No. 42	4.3 a match
Ignacio BuseWorld No. 33	4.4 a match
Arthur GeaWorld No. 44	5.0 a match
Thiago Agustin TiranteWorld No. 53	4.7 a match
Jaume MunarWorld No. 65	5.2 a match
Jakub MensikWorld No. 16	5.0 a match

Tour level only: ATP hard events, the Grand Slams and the Finals. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own view, because mixing them would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Minimum 15 finished matches in the last 52 weeks.

Does the returner really change the ace count?

Aces allowed: first 26 weeks vs last 26 (correlation): 0.64
Aces hit: first 26 weeks vs last 26 (correlation): 0.80
Predicting aces from the server alone, last 12 weeks: 0.63
Server and returner together, last 12 weeks: 0.71

Yes. Aces allowed repeat from one half of the year to the next, and reading both sides predicted the last 12 weeks of aces with an average miss of 2.86 aces, against 3.09 from the server alone, over 1,520 player matches. Rates came only from matches before those weeks.

What the returner does to the top ATP hard servers

Estimated aces over an average 12.3 service games: the server's rate, times the returner's index, times service games. The index is pulled toward 100 first, because only part of it repeats (correlation 0.64). A rough read for sizing an ace line, not a prediction.

Estimated aces for top ATP hard servers against the biggest ace magnet, an average returner and the biggest ace wall

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardWorld No. 145	24.8	16.1	10.2
Hubert HurkaczWorld No. 29	19.3	12.5	8.0
Martin DammWorld No. 102	20.6	13.4	8.5
Alexander BublikWorld No. 26	18.2	11.8	7.5
Taylor FritzWorld No. 12	18.9	12.3	7.8
Quentin HalysWorld No. 46	18.5	12.1	7.7
Arthur RinderknechWorld No. 68	16.3	10.6	6.7
Jakub MensikWorld No. 16	17.4	11.3	7.2
Alexander ZverevWorld No. 1	15.7	10.2	6.5
Aleksandar KovacevicWorld No. 84	17.4	11.3	7.2

Aces hit against aces allowed

ATP hard aces hit and allowed per game, last 52 weeks, 118 players. Dashed lines mark the average of the players shown.

ATP hard aces hit and allowed, sorted by aces per match

ATP hard aces hit and aces allowed by player, last 52 weeks

1	Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardWorld No. 145	18.0	1.31	222	7.2	0.53	89	24
2	Hubert HurkaczWorld No. 29	13.9	1.02	173	7.5	0.55	94	29
3	Martin DammWorld No. 102	13.4	1.09	184	8.0	0.66	112	30
4	Alexander BublikWorld No. 26	13.4	0.96	163	8.5	0.61	104	26
5	Taylor FritzWorld No. 12	12.9	1.00	170	7.9	0.63	107	42
6	Quentin HalysWorld No. 46	12.7	0.98	166	8.5	0.66	112	39
7	Arthur RinderknechWorld No. 68	12.3	0.86	147	7.9	0.55	93	16
8	Jakub MensikWorld No. 16	12.1	0.92	155	5.0	0.39	66	37
9	Alexander ZverevWorld No. 1	11.7	0.83	141	7.8	0.55	93	44
10	Aleksandar KovacevicWorld No. 84	11.6	0.92	156	13.6	1.08	184	36
11	Valentin VacherotWorld No. 27	11.5	0.90	152	7.1	0.56	95	33
12	Chak Lam Coleman WongWorld No. 85	11.4	0.95	161	6.6	0.55	93	34
13	Alexei PopyrinWorld No. 126	11.3	0.90	152	8.4	0.65	111	16
14	Marin ČilićWorld No. 96	11.1	0.93	158	10.1	0.85	145	19
15	Brandon NakashimaWorld No. 18	11.0	0.89	151	9.2	0.76	129	42
16	Tallon GriekspoorWorld No. 50	11.0	0.86	147	11.2	0.88	150	28
17	Ben SheltonWorld No. 4	10.9	0.74	126	7.1	0.50	84	39
18	Matteo BerrettiniWorld No. 43	10.8	0.87	147	6.0	0.47	81	20
19	Jannik SinnerWorld No. 2	10.7	0.93	158	5.7	0.53	89	25
20	Rei SakamotoWorld No. 123	10.5	0.83	141	7.6	0.60	101	22
21	Thiago Agustin TiranteWorld No. 53	10.2	0.84	142	4.7	0.38	64	27
22	Sebastian KordaWorld No. 86	10.2	0.80	136	5.9	0.47	80	20
23	Jan-Lennard StruffWorld No. 39	10.1	0.81	137	10.1	0.80	135	32
24	Felix Auger-AliassimeWorld No. 13	10.1	0.86	147	6.1	0.52	88	30
25	Titouan DroguetWorld No. 79	10.1	0.80	136	7.6	0.60	102	19
26	Alexander BlockxWorld No. 28	10.1	0.74	125	4.2	0.31	53	17
27	Hamad MedjedovicWorld No. 77	10.1	0.82	139	12.0	0.98	166	17
28	Daniil MedvedevWorld No. 5	9.6	0.82	140	3.5	0.30	52	51
29	Yannick HanfmannWorld No. 58	9.5	0.75	127	8.2	0.64	108	25
30	Casper RuudWorld No. 23	9.5	0.75	127	8.5	0.68	116	21
31	Stan WawrinkaWorld No. 152	9.5	0.67	113	9.9	0.71	121	15
32	Andrey RublevWorld No. 22	9.0	0.69	118	8.4	0.64	108	31
33	Tristan SchoolkateWorld No. 143	9.0	0.69	118	8.9	0.68	116	15
34	Gabriel DialloWorld No. 169	9.0	0.73	124	7.1	0.57	97	15
35	Lorenzo SonegoWorld No. 106	8.9	0.68	116	4.0	0.31	53	25
36	Karen KhachanovWorld No. 25	8.8	0.64	108	7.6	0.55	94	32
37	Tomas Martin EtcheverryWorld No. 31	8.8	0.64	109	9.3	0.68	115	24
38	Denis ShapovalovWorld No. 51	8.7	0.70	119	3.1	0.26	43	30
39	Roman SafiullinWorld No. 71	8.7	0.74	126	6.3	0.56	94	15
40	Stefanos TsitsipasWorld No. 34	8.5	0.68	115	5.9	0.48	82	37
41	Novak DjokovicWorld No. 11	8.5	0.58	98	11.2	0.78	132	20
42	Jiri LeheckaWorld No. 15	8.2	0.68	115	5.8	0.48	82	38
43	James DuckworthWorld No. 70	8.2	0.69	117	7.9	0.67	115	29
44	Aleksandar VukicWorld No. 127	8.1	0.68	115	9.9	0.81	138	29
45	Zachary SvajdaWorld No. 75	8.1	0.67	114	9.8	0.82	140	28
46	Nikoloz BasilashviliWorld No. 87	8.0	0.75	127	7.6	0.72	121	29
47	Jaime FariaWorld No. 57	8.0	0.61	104	5.5	0.42	72	25
48	Terence AtmaneWorld No. 73	7.9	0.61	103	7.1	0.56	95	27
49	Luciano DarderiWorld No. 21	7.8	0.59	101	10.8	0.82	140	26
50	Botic Van De ZandschulpWorld No. 37	7.7	0.59	99	6.8	0.51	86	38
51	Christopher O'ConnellWorld No. 117	7.7	0.65	111	6.4	0.53	90	26
52	Kyrian JacquetWorld No. 80	7.6	0.64	108	6.2	0.52	88	25
53	Zizou BergsWorld No. 40	7.5	0.65	110	5.8	0.50	84	26
54	Daniel AltmaierWorld No. 63	7.5	0.66	111	6.6	0.57	96	25
55	Mattia BellucciWorld No. 66	7.4	0.65	110	6.6	0.56	96	29
56	Adam WaltonWorld No. 98	7.4	0.64	109	8.7	0.75	127	29
57	Yunchaokete BuWorld No. 93	7.4	0.60	102	10.2	0.81	138	18
58	Kamil MajchrzakWorld No. 82	7.3	0.55	93	11.4	0.85	145	27
59	Alexander ShevchenkoWorld No. 107	7.3	0.57	97	7.2	0.57	96	25
60	Liam DraxlWorld No. 168	7.3	0.54	92	6.5	0.49	84	15
61	Flavio CobolliWorld No. 6	7.2	0.55	94	7.4	0.57	97	30
62	Benjamin BonziWorld No. 95	7.2	0.55	93	8.4	0.64	108	24
63	Nishesh BasavareddyWorld No. 128	7.2	0.56	95	10.4	0.82	139	16
64	Raphael CollignonWorld No. 55	7.1	0.58	98	7.6	0.61	104	16
65	Tommy PaulWorld No. 14	7.0	0.55	94	7.6	0.59	101	42
66	Nuno BorgesWorld No. 49	7.0	0.57	97	8.7	0.69	118	31
67	Ugo HumbertWorld No. 38	7.0	0.57	98	5.7	0.47	80	29
68	Valentin RoyerWorld No. 120	7.0	0.53	89	9.0	0.69	116	20
69	Arthur FilsWorld No. 7	6.8	0.58	99	6.7	0.60	102	40
70	Alejandro TabiloWorld No. 30	6.8	0.54	92	9.5	0.77	131	28
71	Juan Manuel CerundoloWorld No. 54	6.8	0.55	94	5.8	0.46	79	24
72	Jaume MunarWorld No. 65	6.8	0.50	85	5.2	0.38	65	20
73	Elias YmerWorld No. 245	6.8	0.51	87	7.1	0.53	90	16
74	Alex MichelsenWorld No. 35	6.7	0.52	88	7.6	0.60	101	39
75	Marco TrungellitiWorld No. 91	6.7	0.48	81	8.0	0.58	98	15
76	Frances TiafoeWorld No. 8	6.3	0.48	82	10.9	0.83	140	41
77	Sho ShimabukuroWorld No. 118	6.2	0.55	93	5.8	0.51	86	28
78	Arthur GeaWorld No. 44	6.2	0.45	76	5.0	0.37	63	26
79	Jacob FearnleyWorld No. 90	6.2	0.48	82	6.2	0.48	81	21
80	Learner TienWorld No. 19	6.1	0.47	79	7.7	0.58	99	37
81	Tomas MachacWorld No. 69	6.0	0.50	85	7.7	0.63	107	27
82	Ignacio BuseWorld No. 33	6.0	0.48	82	4.4	0.35	59	18
83	Miomir KecmanovicWorld No. 60	5.7	0.44	74	11.0	0.85	145	32
84	Michael ZhengWorld No. 100	5.6	0.43	73	5.2	0.39	66	22
85	Martin LandaluceWorld No. 67	5.4	0.41	70	6.8	0.51	87	25
86	Alejandro Davidovich FokinaWorld No. 17	5.4	0.42	72	12.1	0.95	161	25
87	Daniel Merida AguilarWorld No. 42	5.4	0.43	74	4.3	0.34	58	21
88	Adrian MannarinoWorld No. 59	5.3	0.45	76	9.5	0.79	134	37
89	Marcos GironWorld No. 89	5.3	0.42	71	8.9	0.70	119	29
90	Alexandre MullerWorld No. 146	5.3	0.44	74	10.6	0.88	150	18
91	Matteo ArnaldiWorld No. 36	5.3	0.42	71	5.6	0.44	75	15
92	Luca Van AsscheWorld No. 47	5.2	0.44	75	6.7	0.56	96	22
93	Mackenzie McDonaldWorld No. 242	5.2	0.44	75	7.9	0.67	114	19
94	Rinky HijikataWorld No. 83	5.1	0.45	77	7.9	0.69	117	42
95	Alex De MinaurWorld No. 9	5.1	0.43	73	6.0	0.50	85	39
96	Lorenzo MusettiWorld No. 24	5.1	0.39	67	5.8	0.45	76	34
97	Francisco CerundoloWorld No. 20	5.1	0.38	65	6.1	0.46	78	27
98	Federico CinaWorld No. 136	5.1	0.42	71	6.1	0.50	84	15
99	Carlos AlcarazWorld No. 3	5.0	0.39	66	4.9	0.39	65	40
100	Cameron NorrieWorld No. 45	5.0	0.38	65	9.3	0.71	120	37
101	Fabian MarozsanWorld No. 61	5.0	0.37	62	7.5	0.56	95	26
102	Vit KoprivaWorld No. 62	4.8	0.41	69	7.1	0.60	102	21
103	Yibing WuWorld No. 105	4.7	0.40	67	7.1	0.60	102	23
104	Rafael JodarWorld No. 10	4.6	0.40	68	4.7	0.41	70	42
105	Juncheng ShangWorld No. 250	4.4	0.35	60	8.4	0.67	113	16
106	Marton FucsovicsWorld No. 144	4.2	0.38	64	4.4	0.40	68	15
107	Arthur FeryWorld No. 32	4.1	0.35	59	5.8	0.48	81	21
108	Nicolas MejiaWorld No. 115	4.1	0.34	58	6.5	0.55	93	16
109	Adolfo Daniel VallejoWorld No. 56	4.0	0.37	62	6.4	0.58	99	21
110	Dalibor SvrcinaWorld No. 119	3.7	0.29	49	6.3	0.48	82	27
111	Dane SweenyWorld No. 114	3.5	0.28	47	9.1	0.71	121	18
112	Pablo Carreno BustaWorld No. 74	3.3	0.26	45	9.2	0.73	124	26
113	Mariano NavoneWorld No. 48	3.3	0.26	44	7.6	0.58	99	21
114	Corentin MoutetWorld No. 110	3.3	0.28	48	5.0	0.40	69	15
115	Jenson BrooksbyWorld No. 94	2.8	0.26	44	5.6	0.51	86	25
116	Shintaro MochizukiWorld No. 125	2.8	0.24	41	7.1	0.60	103	22
117	Hugo GastonWorld No. 108	2.8	0.24	40	5.9	0.50	86	18
118	Sebastian BaezWorld No. 52	2.3	0.20	34	8.3	0.70	119	26

Using ace matchups on a prop

Start with the server
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard hits 1.31 aces per service game. That is a serve index of 222, where 100 is the ATP hard average of 0.59.
Check who is returning
Aleksandar Kovacevic has a return index of 184, the highest here. Denis Shapovalov has 43, the lowest. A line that ignores the returner ignores that gap.
Multiply it out
Over an average 12.3 service games, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard works out to about 16.1 aces against an average returner, 24.8 against Aleksandar Kovacevic and 10.2 against Denis Shapovalov. The returner's index is pulled toward 100 first, because only part of it repeats (correlation 0.64).
Adjust for the court
Then check the court speed index for this week's event. Aces per match change a lot from clay to grass. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Counts finished singles matches, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026. Aces per match is the player's aces divided by matches. Aces allowed are the opponent's aces in those matches. Per-game rates divide by service games played and by the opponent's service games, so a long match doesn't inflate them. Serve and return indexes compare those rates with the ATP hard average, set to 100. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour level means ATP events, the Grand Slams and the Finals, qualifying included. Challenger and WTA 125 matches are left out and have their own view, because they would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Team cups are left out too. A player needs 15+ matches to appear. Hard includes indoor hard. The correlations compare the first 26 weeks with the last 26 for players at this level with 80+ games in each, across all surfaces, and the prediction test sets rates only from matches before the last 12 weeks.

Ace matchups FAQ

Who hits the most aces per match on ATP hard courts?

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at 18 per match over 24 matches, or 1.31 per service game. The average is 7.3 per match.

Who gives up the most aces on ATP hard courts?

Aleksandar Kovacevic allows 13.6 aces per match and 1.08 per return game over 36 matches. That is a return index of 184, where 100 is average.

Who is hardest to ace on ATP hard courts?

Denis Shapovalov allows 0.26 aces per return game over 30 matches, a return index of 43.

Are aces allowed a real skill or just luck?

A player's aces allowed in the first 26 weeks correlated 0.64 with the last 26 across 143 players, so it repeats. Aces hit correlated 0.8. Adding the returner moved the average miss on aces from 3.09 to 2.86 over the last 12 weeks.

Why use per-game rates as well as per-match?

Match length moves the count. An average ATP hard match has 12.3 service games per player, and a player who wins quickly serves fewer. Per-game rates take that out.

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