Player stats
Matteo Arnaldi stats and props
ATP, World No. 36, Right-handed
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Matteo Arnaldi went 19-20 over the last 52 weeks, with 5.3 aces and 3.8 double faults per match, 73.1% of service games held and 22.9% of return games broken. Best-of-three matches average 25.4 total games. That ranks 139th in hold % and 92nd in aces among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches.
- ATP world rank
- No. 36
- Record, 49% wins
- 19-20
- Aces per match (tour 6.5)
- 5.3
- Double faults per match
- 3.8
- Hold % (tour 79.5%)
- 73.1%
- Break % (tour 20.6%)
- 22.9%
- Games won per match
- 13.9
- Total games, best of 3 (tour 23.6)
- 25.4
Among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches: 139th in hold %, 80th in break % and 92nd in aces per match. On the ATP serve vs return map, Matteo Arnaldi sits in the grinder corner.
Finished singles matches from the last 52 weeks, last played Nov 2. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour averages are tour-level matches only.
Matteo Arnaldi by surface
Matteo Arnaldi by level
How often Matteo Arnaldi cleared common lines
Aces
Median 4, usual range 1.8 to 10
| O 2.5 | O 3.5 | O 4.5 | O 5.5 | O 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 67% | 49% | 41% | 28% |
Double faults
Median 4, usual range 1 to 7
| O 2.5 | O 3.5 | O 4.5 | O 5.5 | O 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 59% | 38% | 15% | 13% |
Games won
Median 14, usual range 6 to 20
| O 10.5 | O 12.5 | O 14.5 | O 16.5 | O 18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 62% | 41% | 28% | 15% |
Total games
Best of 3, average 25.4 over 32
| O 19.5 | O 20.5 | O 21.5 | O 22.5 | O 23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 66% | 66% | 63% | 63% |
The usual range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of 39 matches. Aces, double faults and games won count every match, best of five included. Today's exact lines are in the app.
Matteo Arnaldi against posted prop lines
The main line stored for each match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble. A hit rate is not a profit, and small samples move a lot.
Matteo Arnaldi against closing odds
- Won, 19-20 in priced matches
- 48.7%
- Average closing no-vig chance
- 46.9%
- Gap in points, noise band ±15.2
- +1.9
- As favorite / as underdog
- 10-8 / 9-12
This gap sits inside the noise band, so chance alone could explain it. Across the tour, these gaps barely carry from one half of the year to the next. See ATP market beaters.
Matteo Arnaldi last 10 matches
Matteo Arnaldi stats FAQ
How many aces does Matteo Arnaldi average?
5.3 per match over 39 matches in the last 52 weeks, with a median of 4 and a usual range of 1.8 to 10. The ATP tour average is 6.5.
What is Matteo Arnaldi's hold percentage?
73.1% of service games, with a break rate of 22.9% on return. The ATP tour averages are 79.5% and 20.6%.
How many games do Matteo Arnaldi's matches usually go?
25.4 total games in best-of-three matches, against 23.6 for the ATP tour.
What is Matteo Arnaldi's best surface?
Clay by win rate: 13-7 with 5 aces per match and 75.5% hold.
Has Matteo Arnaldi beaten the betting market?
Matteo Arnaldi won 48.7% of 39 priced matches against 46.9% implied at the close, a gap of +1.9 points. The noise band for that many matches is ±15.2, so chance alone could explain it.
When did Matteo Arnaldi last play?
Nov 2, 2026, a loss to Cameron Norrie at Paris, 4-6 6-1 3-6.
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