Carlos Alcaraz stats and props

ATP, World No. 3, Right-handed

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Carlos Alcaraz went 40-6 over the last 52 weeks, with 4.8 aces and 2.3 double faults per match, 88.1% of service games held and 30.5% of return games broken. Best-of-three matches average 22.2 total games. That ranks 6th in hold % and 103rd in aces among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches.

ATP world rank
No. 3
Record, 87% wins
40-6
Aces per match (tour 6.5)
4.8
Double faults per match
2.3
Hold % (tour 79.5%)
88.1%
Break % (tour 20.6%)
30.5%
Games won per match
15.1
Total games, best of 3 (tour 23.6)
22.2

Among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches: 6th in hold %, 2nd in break % and 103rd in aces per match. On the ATP serve vs return map, Carlos Alcaraz sits in the complete corner.

Finished singles matches from the last 52 weeks, last played Nov 1. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour averages are tour-level matches only.

Carlos Alcaraz by surface

Carlos Alcaraz stats by surface
Hard3026-44.94.82.416.323.188.2%29.5%
Indoor hard109-15.55.21.313.122.189.8%27.4%
Clay65-13.31.23.212.219.584.2%42.4%
All surfaces4640-64.84.42.315.122.288.1%30.5%

How often Carlos Alcaraz cleared common lines

Aces

Median 5, usual range 2 to 8.5

Aces: share of matches over each line
O 3.5O 4.5O 5.5O 6.5O 7.5
57%52%30%24%20%

Double faults

Median 2, usual range 1 to 4.5

Double faults: share of matches over each line
O 0.5O 1.5O 2.5O 3.5O 4.5
91%65%39%17%11%

Games won

Median 13, usual range 12 to 19.5

Games won: share of matches over each line
O 9.5O 11.5O 13.5O 15.5O 17.5
96%91%41%39%33%

Total games

Best of 3, average 22.2 over 34

Total games: share of matches over each line
O 19.5O 20.5O 21.5O 22.5O 23.5
71%53%50%44%26%

The usual range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of 46 matches. Aces, double faults and games won count every match, best of five included. Today's exact lines are in the app.

Carlos Alcaraz against posted prop lines

Carlos Alcaraz over and under record against posted lines
Aces145-9-036%5.64.1
Double Faults54-1-080%3.34.4
Games Won1610-6-063%14.815.4
Total Games1610-6-063%25.026.1
Break Points Won53-2-060%4.55.4

The main line stored for each match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble. A hit rate is not a profit, and small samples move a lot.

Carlos Alcaraz against closing odds

Won, 40-6 in priced matches
87.0%
Average closing no-vig chance
85.9%
Gap in points, noise band ±9.6
+1.0
As favorite / as underdog
40-4 / 0-2

This gap sits inside the noise band, so chance alone could explain it. Across the tour, these gaps barely carry from one half of the year to the next. See ATP market beaters.

Carlos Alcaraz last 10 matches

Carlos Alcaraz last 10 finished matches
Nov 1Alex De MinaurWorld No. 10W6-1 6-4ViennaIndoor hardFinal511217
Oct 31Daniil MedvedevWorld No. 5W6-4 7-6ViennaIndoor hardSF721323
Oct 30Tommy PaulWorld No. 14W6-4 7-6ViennaIndoor hardQF501323
Oct 29Nikoloz BasilashviliWorld No. 95W6-1 7-6ViennaIndoor hardR16911320
Oct 27Karen KhachanovWorld No. 24W6-4 7-6ViennaIndoor hardR32331323
Oct 12Zizou BergsWorld No. 39L5-7 6-7ShanghaiHardR32521125
Oct 10Juan Manuel CerundoloWorld No. 55W6-3 6-3ShanghaiHardR64811218
Oct 6Jiri LeheckaWorld No. 19W7-6 6-4TokyoHardFinal411323
Oct 5Jaume MunarWorld No. 49W5-7 6-3 6-1TokyoHardSF341728
Oct 3Matteo ArnaldiWorld No. 37W7-6 6-1TokyoHardR16111320

Carlos Alcaraz stats FAQ

How many aces does Carlos Alcaraz average?

4.8 per match over 46 matches in the last 52 weeks, with a median of 5 and a usual range of 2 to 8.5. The ATP tour average is 6.5.

What is Carlos Alcaraz's hold percentage?

88.1% of service games, with a break rate of 30.5% on return. The ATP tour averages are 79.5% and 20.6%.

How many games do Carlos Alcaraz's matches usually go?

22.2 total games in best-of-three matches, against 23.6 for the ATP tour.

What is Carlos Alcaraz's best surface?

Indoor hard by win rate: 9-1 with 5.5 aces per match and 89.8% hold.

Has Carlos Alcaraz beaten the betting market?

Carlos Alcaraz won 87% of 46 priced matches against 85.9% implied at the close, a gap of +1.0 points. The noise band for that many matches is ±9.6, so chance alone could explain it.

When did Carlos Alcaraz last play?

Nov 1, 2026, a win over Alex De Minaur at Vienna, 6-1 6-4.

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