Tommy Paul stats and props

ATP, World No. 14, Right-handed

PickFinder logo

PickFinder Team•Updated:

Tommy Paul went 44-21 over the last 52 weeks, with 6.8 aces and 1.9 double faults per match, 84.9% of service games held and 23.8% of return games broken. Best-of-three matches average 24.4 total games. That ranks 24th in hold % and 69th in aces among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches.

ATP world rank
No. 14
Record, 68% wins
44-21
Aces per match (tour 6.5)
6.8
Double faults per match
1.9
Hold % (tour 79.5%)
84.9%
Break % (tour 20.6%)
23.8%
Games won per match
14.5
Total games, best of 3 (tour 23.6)
24.4

Among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches: 24th in hold %, 31st in break % and 69th in aces per match. On the ATP serve vs return map, Tommy Paul sits in the complete corner.

Finished singles matches from the last 52 weeks, last played Oct 30. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour averages are tour-level matches only.

Tommy Paul by surface

Tommy Paul stats by surface
Hard3422-126.87.91.814.023.785.3%22.8%
Indoor hard85-38.06.01.613.525.488.0%19.0%
Clay1511-44.73.92.315.725.880.5%27.7%
Grass86-29.44.62.315.123.089.3%24.5%
All surfaces6544-216.86.41.914.524.484.9%23.8%

How often Tommy Paul cleared common lines

Aces

Median 6, usual range 2 to 14

Aces: share of matches over each line
O 2.5O 4.5O 6.5O 8.5O 10.5
82%62%42%32%18%

Double faults

Median 2, usual range 0 to 4

Double faults: share of matches over each line
O 0.5O 1.5O 2.5O 3.5O 4.5
86%52%31%14%6%

Games won

Median 13, usual range 10.4 to 19

Games won: share of matches over each line
O 9.5O 11.5O 13.5O 15.5O 17.5
91%85%49%35%26%

Total games

Best of 3, average 24.4 over 52

Total games: share of matches over each line
O 19.5O 20.5O 21.5O 22.5O 23.5
71%65%62%54%48%

The usual range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of 65 matches. Aces, double faults and games won count every match, best of five included. Today's exact lines are in the app.

Tommy Paul against posted prop lines

Tommy Paul over and under record against posted lines
Aces3817-21-045%6.96.8
Double Faults2312-11-052%2.32.4
Games Won3824-14-063%14.115.0
Total Games3821-17-055%25.827.4
Break Points Won2410-14-042%2.92.8

The main line stored for each match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble. A hit rate is not a profit, and small samples move a lot.

Tommy Paul against closing odds

Won, 44-21 in priced matches
67.7%
Average closing no-vig chance
65.8%
Gap in points, noise band ±10.8
+1.9
As favorite / as underdog
41-14 / 3-7

This gap sits inside the noise band, so chance alone could explain it. Across the tour, these gaps barely carry from one half of the year to the next. See ATP market beaters.

Tommy Paul last 10 matches

Tommy Paul last 10 finished matches
Oct 30Carlos AlcarazWorld No. 3L4-6 6-7ViennaIndoor hardQF311023
Oct 29Luciano DarderiWorld No. 23W6-1 6-1ViennaIndoor hardR161011214
Oct 27Andrey RublevWorld No. 22W7-5 6-2ViennaIndoor hardR32411320
Oct 24Taylor FritzWorld No. 14L3-6 5-7LyonIndoor hardSF12821
Oct 23Corentin MoutetWorld No. 94W6-4 3-6 6-3LyonIndoor hardQF431528
Oct 21Benjamin BonziWorld No. 100W6-4 6-7 6-3LyonIndoor hardR161831832
Oct 16Daniil MedvedevWorld No. 6L3-6 6-1 3-6ShanghaiHardQF711225
Oct 14Zizou BergsWorld No. 39W7-6 6-4ShanghaiHardR16321323
Oct 12Valentin VacherotWorld No. 14W6-4 6-2ShanghaiHardR32401218
Oct 10Adolfo Daniel VallejoWorld No. 52W6-2 6-2ShanghaiHardR64511216

Tommy Paul stats FAQ

How many aces does Tommy Paul average?

6.8 per match over 65 matches in the last 52 weeks, with a median of 6 and a usual range of 2 to 14. The ATP tour average is 6.5.

What is Tommy Paul's hold percentage?

84.9% of service games, with a break rate of 23.8% on return. The ATP tour averages are 79.5% and 20.6%.

How many games do Tommy Paul's matches usually go?

24.4 total games in best-of-three matches, against 23.6 for the ATP tour.

What is Tommy Paul's best surface?

Grass by win rate: 6-2 with 9.4 aces per match and 89.3% hold.

Has Tommy Paul beaten the betting market?

Tommy Paul won 67.7% of 65 priced matches against 65.8% implied at the close, a gap of +1.9 points. The noise band for that many matches is ±10.8, so chance alone could explain it.

When did Tommy Paul last play?

Oct 30, 2026, a loss to Carlos Alcaraz at Vienna, 4-6 6-7.

What is the best tool for researching Tennis picks?

PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For tennis it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.

What is PickFinder?

PickFinder is a sports betting research tool for player props, +EV bets, arbitrage, middles and odds comparison. It covers 30+ leagues across 14 sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL, 20 soccer competitions, ATP and WTA tennis, and five esports, and compares 24 sportsbooks and DFS apps, with hit rates, matchups, injuries and line movement on one screen. Every plan includes its Discord, with over 50,000 members, an average of three slips posted a day, 24/7 support and a community free of spam. New members get a 3-day money-back guarantee. PickFinder is not a sportsbook and does not take bets.

More Tennis research

Join over

150,000

PickFinder users

Research Tommy Paul before you pick. Past numbers only go so far. To find the best Tennis picks, you need a research tool like PickFinder: Tommy Paul's hit rates against today's exact line, the matchup, line movement and every price across 24 books and apps.

discord

© 2026 PickFinder

This website is designed solely for research purposes and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know is struggling with gambling issues, please seek help by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Download on the App Store