Tennis total games props: over and under record against the line

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Tennis total games props on PrizePicks, Underdog and Dabble have gone over 49.8% of the time since May 12, 2026, across 9,330 lines, with an average line of 21.9 and an average result of 23.31. Jennifer Ruggeri went over most often, on 12 of 15 lines, and Alexandre Muller least often, on 4 of 19. 23 players sit outside the noise band, about what chance alone would produce (25.4).

Total Games overs, 9,330 lines
49.8%
Average line / average result
21.9 / 23.3
Players with 15+ lines
559
Beyond noise. Chance alone gives about 25.4
23

Which tennis lines lean one way

Over rate against the posted line for each tennis prop
Aces6,55734.5%5.34.60.14
Double Faults3,58851.5%3.64.0-0.45
Games Won10,85749.8%12.011.8-0.04
Total Games9,33049.8%21.923.3-0.04
Break Points Won3,55649.0%3.33.3-0.04
Total Sets3,73939.6%2.62.50.04
Points Won1,83449.5%74.577.4-

Carries over: how well a player's over rate in the first half of the window matches the second half, for players with 8+ lines in each. Near 0 means a player's record against these lines tends not to repeat.

Total Games lines by tour

Total Games over rate by tour
ATP1,96750.1%25.226.52
WTA1,98049.6%20.722.10
ATP Challenger4,16749.4%21.422.80
WTA 1251,21650.8%20.221.82

Players who cleared the total games line most often

Highest over rate against the Total Games line
Jennifer RuggeriWorld No. 252WTA80%12-3-020.426.0+5.6Beyond noise
Tiago PereiraWorld No. 318ATP78%18-5-021.426.4+5.0Beyond noise
Marcos GironWorld No. 89ATP76%19-6-024.628.4+3.8Beyond noise
Lorenzo GiustinoWorld No. 272ATP75%24-8-021.825.1+3.4Beyond noise
Novak DjokovicWorld No. 11ATP75%12-4-031.136.8+5.8Beyond noise
Maya JointWorld No. 90WTA74%25-9-020.324.4+4.2Beyond noise
Matteo ArnaldiWorld No. 36ATP71%15-6-027.431.5+4.0Within noise
Tallon GriekspoorWorld No. 50ATP70%16-7-025.128.4+3.2Within noise
Ilia SimakinWorld No. 148ATP69%20-9-021.524.9+3.5Beyond noise
Liudmila SamsonovaWorld No. 40WTA69%20-9-020.925.7+4.7Beyond noise
Anna BondarWorld No. 74WTA69%20-9-020.924.9+4.0Beyond noise
Irene Burillo EscorihuelaWorld No. 219WTA69%11-5-020.324.7+4.4Within noise
Maxime JanvierATP69%11-5-022.125.4+3.4Within noise
Felix BalshawWorld No. 180ATP69%24-11-022.024.9+2.8Beyond noise
Franco AgamenoneWorld No. 364ATP68%13-6-021.325.6+4.3Within noise
Sebastian GorznyWorld No. 403ATP68%13-6-022.926.7+3.9Within noise
Jeline VandrommeWorld No. 126WTA68%15-7-020.124.4+4.3Within noise
Susan BandecchiWorld No. 165WTA68%19-9-020.624.1+3.5Within noise
Aryna SabalenkaWorld No. 2WTA68%19-9-019.321.9+2.7Within noise
Nikola BartunkovaWorld No. 29WTA67%22-11-021.124.9+3.8Within noise
Dalibor SvrcinaWorld No. 119ATP67%20-10-023.026.7+3.8Within noise
Camila OsorioWorld No. 69WTA67%16-8-020.822.5+1.7Within noise
Francesco MaestrelliWorld No. 176ATP67%16-8-022.125.4+3.3Within noise
Ekaterine GorgodzeWorld No. 179WTA67%14-7-020.424.4+4.0Within noise
Yue YuanWorld No. 168WTA67%10-5-021.024.1+3.0Within noise

Players who stayed under the total games line most often

Lowest over rate against the Total Games line
Alexandre MullerWorld No. 146ATP21%4-15-022.520.9-1.6Beyond noise
Michael MmohWorld No. 149ATP23%5-17-022.120.9-1.2Beyond noise
Greet MinnenWorld No. 240WTA24%4-13-021.319.7-1.6Beyond noise
Felipe Meligeni AlvesWorld No. 348ATP24%5-16-020.820.1-0.7Beyond noise
Tomas Martin EtcheverryWorld No. 31ATP24%5-16-027.625.8-1.8Beyond noise
Elena-Gabriela RuseWorld No. 60WTA25%5-15-021.419.3-2.0Beyond noise
Thiago Seyboth WildWorld No. 109ATP26%10-28-021.420.8-0.6Beyond noise
Izan Almazan ValienteWorld No. 399ATP27%4-11-021.020.7-0.3Within noise
Tomas MachacWorld No. 69ATP28%5-13-025.123.4-1.7Within noise
Jurij RodionovWorld No. 142ATP29%8-20-023.622.5-1.1Beyond noise
Sumit NagalWorld No. 265ATP30%8-19-021.621.5-0.1Beyond noise
Gustavo HeideWorld No. 112ATP30%11-26-021.320.5-0.8Beyond noise
Maria TimofeevaWorld No. 70WTA31%9-20-020.820.6-0.3Beyond noise
Harold MayotWorld No. 220ATP31%9-20-021.821.5-0.3Beyond noise
Gabriele PirainoWorld No. 390ATP31%5-11-021.120.3-0.8Within noise
McCartney KesslerWorld No. 110WTA31%5-11-021.120.6-0.4Within noise
Pol Martin TiffonWorld No. 210ATP31%5-11-021.821.6-0.1Within noise
Vendula ValdmannovaWorld No. 166WTA32%6-13-020.819.8-1.0Within noise
Sinja KrausWorld No. 92WTA32%13-28-020.820.6-0.2Beyond noise
Mees RottgeringWorld No. 295ATP32%7-15-021.720.1-1.7Within noise
Moise KouameWorld No. 132ATP32%7-15-023.823.0-0.8Within noise
Alevtina IbragimovaWorld No. 162WTA32%8-17-020.521.5+1.0Within noise
Daniel Merida AguilarWorld No. 42ATP32%8-17-024.923.2-1.7Within noise
Henri SquireWorld No. 312ATP32%9-19-022.222.20.0Within noise
Jenson BrooksbyWorld No. 94ATP32%10-21-024.322.8-1.5Within noise

Using prop line record on a prop

  1. Start with the prop baseline

    Total Games go over 49.8% of the time, so that is the number to compare a player with, not 50%. The average line is 21.9 and the average result is 23.31.

  2. Compare the player

    Jennifer Ruggeri is 12-3 against the line, an average of 26 on an average line of 20.43. Alexandre Muller is 4-15, 20.89 on 22.47.

  3. Check if it repeats

    A player's over rate on this prop in the first half of the window correlates -0.04 with the second half, across 386 players, so don't assume a run repeats.

  4. Then look at the price

    A hit rate is not a profit. Prices and payouts differ by app and by side. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Compares each player's final stat with the main line PickFinder stored for that player and match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble, leaving out alternate lines. Lines have been stored since May 12, 2026, one per player, match and prop. The prop-level number counts each match once, since both players share the same total. Results come from finished singles matches at every level, including Challenger and WTA 125. Retired matches and walkovers are left out, and a push counts as neither over nor under. A player needs 15+ lines to appear. Beyond noise tests a player's over rate against the 49.8% baseline at two standard deviations. The page shows hit rates, not returns: it doesn't hold the price on either side.

Prop line record FAQ

How often do tennis total games props go over?

49.8% of 9,330 posted lines since May 12, 2026, with 4 pushes. On the ATP it is 50.1%, and on the WTA 49.6%.

Who goes over their total games line most often?

Jennifer Ruggeri: over on 12 of 15 lines, averaging 26 on an average line of 20.43.

Who goes under their total games line most often?

Alexandre Muller: over on 4 of 19 lines, averaging 20.89 on an average line of 22.47.

Does a player's record against the line repeat?

Rarely. On this prop, the over rate in the first half of the window correlates -0.04 with the second half across 386 players.

Does a high hit rate mean the side is profitable?

No. This page counts hits, not returns. Prices and payouts differ by app and by side, and this table doesn't hold them.

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