Prop line record
Tennis games won props: over and under record against the line
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Tennis games won props on PrizePicks, Underdog and Dabble have gone over 49.8% of the time since May 12, 2026, across 10,857 lines, with an average line of 11.97 and an average result of 11.85. Katarzyna Kawa went over most often, on 13 of 17 lines, and Lukas Neumayer least often, on 5 of 21. 10 players sit outside the noise band, about what chance alone would produce (13.4).
- Games Won overs, 10,857 lines
- 49.8%
- Average line / average result
- 12.0 / 11.8
- Players with 15+ lines
- 294
- Beyond noise. Chance alone gives about 13.4
- 10
Which tennis lines lean one way
Carries over: how well a player's over rate in the first half of the window matches the second half, for players with 8+ lines in each. Near 0 means a player's record against these lines tends not to repeat.
Games Won lines by tour
Players who cleared the games won line most often
 Katarzyna KawaWorld No. 115 | WTA | 77% | 13-4-0 | 10.6 | 11.8 | +1.3 | Beyond noise |
 Susan BandecchiWorld No. 165 | WTA | 75% | 12-4-0 | 10.9 | 13.4 | +2.5 | Beyond noise |
 Novak DjokovicWorld No. 11 | ATP | 73% | 11-4-0 | 17.5 | 19.1 | +1.6 | Within noise |
 Arthur FeryWorld No. 32 | ATP | 72% | 21-8-0 | 13.4 | 14.7 | +1.3 | Beyond noise |
 Martin LandaluceWorld No. 67 | ATP | 71% | 15-6-0 | 13.8 | 15.6 | +1.8 | Within noise |
 Daniel RinconWorld No. 234 | ATP | 71% | 12-5-0 | 11.3 | 13.2 | +1.9 | Within noise |
 Emma NavarroWorld No. 28 | WTA | 69% | 20-9-0 | 11.9 | 12.7 | +0.8 | Beyond noise |
 Liudmila SamsonovaWorld No. 40 | WTA | 69% | 20-9-0 | 11.6 | 12.9 | +1.3 | Beyond noise |
 Quentin HalysWorld No. 46 | ATP | 69% | 22-10-0 | 13.7 | 14.6 | +0.9 | Beyond noise |
 Henrique RochaWorld No. 99 | ATP | 69% | 11-5-0 | 12.5 | 12.1 | -0.4 | Within noise |
 Nikola BartunkovaWorld No. 29 | WTA | 67% | 22-11-0 | 11.6 | 13.1 | +1.6 | Within noise |
 Harriet DartWorld No. 84 | WTA | 67% | 18-9-0 | 10.8 | 12.6 | +1.8 | Within noise |
 Matteo ArnaldiWorld No. 36 | ATP | 67% | 14-7-0 | 14.2 | 15.3 | +1.2 | Within noise |
 Varvara LepchenkoWorld No. 199 | WTA | 67% | 10-5-0 | 10.6 | 11.4 | +0.8 | Within noise |
 Felix Auger-AliassimeWorld No. 13 | ATP | 65% | 15-8-0 | 16.6 | 17.6 | +0.9 | Within noise |
 Kayla DayWorld No. 121 | WTA | 65% | 13-7-0 | 11.7 | 12.1 | +0.4 | Within noise |
 Arthur GeaWorld No. 44 | ATP | 65% | 22-12-0 | 13.5 | 14.8 | +1.3 | Within noise |
 Lautaro MidonWorld No. 185 | ATP | 65% | 11-6-0 | 11.5 | 12.4 | +0.9 | Within noise |
 Darja SemenistajaWorld No. 173 | WTA | 65% | 11-6-0 | 11.7 | 11.7 | -0.1 | Within noise |
 Tristan SchoolkateWorld No. 143 | ATP | 65% | 11-6-0 | 13.4 | 14.1 | +0.7 | Within noise |
 Hubert HurkaczWorld No. 29 | ATP | 65% | 20-11-0 | 14.6 | 16.0 | +1.4 | Within noise |
 Alina CharaevaWorld No. 82 | WTA | 64% | 16-9-0 | 11.3 | 12.7 | +1.3 | Within noise |
 Alex MolcanWorld No. 78 | ATP | 64% | 16-9-0 | 12.7 | 13.0 | +0.3 | Within noise |
 Qinwen ZhengWorld No. 21 | WTA | 64% | 16-9-0 | 12.2 | 12.4 | +0.1 | Within noise |
 Marcos GironWorld No. 89 | ATP | 64% | 14-8-0 | 13.4 | 13.6 | +0.2 | Within noise |
Players who stayed under the games won line most often
 Lukas NeumayerWorld No. 155 | ATP | 24% | 5-16-0 | 12.2 | 10.9 | -1.3 | Beyond noise |
 Andrej NedicWorld No. 246 | ATP | 25% | 4-12-0 | 12.3 | 10.9 | -1.4 | Within noise |
 Katerina SiniakovaWorld No. 47 | WTA | 25% | 5-15-0 | 11.7 | 10.8 | -0.8 | Beyond noise |
 Guido Ivan JustoWorld No. 186 | ATP | 26% | 6-17-0 | 12.2 | 11.1 | -1.1 | Beyond noise |
 Iva JovićWorld No. 13 | WTA | 30% | 8-19-0 | 12.3 | 11.8 | -0.5 | Beyond noise |
 Claire LiuWorld No. 102 | WTA | 30% | 6-14-0 | 12.1 | 11.8 | -0.3 | Within noise |
 Tomas MachacWorld No. 69 | ATP | 31% | 5-11-0 | 13.4 | 11.5 | -1.9 | Within noise |
 Genaro Alberto OlivieriWorld No. 257 | ATP | 31% | 5-11-0 | 11.3 | 9.6 | -1.8 | Within noise |
 McCartney KesslerWorld No. 110 | WTA | 31% | 5-11-0 | 11.4 | 9.3 | -2.2 | Within noise |
 Zdenek KolarWorld No. 206 | ATP | 31% | 5-11-0 | 12.1 | 10.4 | -1.7 | Within noise |
 Mirra AndreevaWorld No. 3 | WTA | 32% | 7-15-0 | 12.4 | 11.6 | -0.9 | Within noise |
 Jenson BrooksbyWorld No. 94 | ATP | 32% | 8-17-0 | 13.0 | 11.4 | -1.6 | Within noise |
 Stefanos SakellaridisWorld No. 129 | ATP | 33% | 5-10-0 | 12.8 | 10.6 | -2.2 | Within noise |
 Fiona FerroWorld No. 96 | WTA | 33% | 5-10-0 | 11.2 | 10.8 | -0.4 | Within noise |
 Juan Carlos Prado AngeloWorld No. 193 | ATP | 33% | 5-10-0 | 12.2 | 11.3 | -0.8 | Within noise |
 Elias YmerWorld No. 245 | ATP | 33% | 5-10-0 | 11.9 | 10.2 | -1.7 | Within noise |
 Gustavo HeideWorld No. 112 | ATP | 33% | 6-12-0 | 12.5 | 10.2 | -2.3 | Within noise |
 Elsa JacquemotWorld No. 130 | WTA | 33% | 7-14-0 | 10.4 | 9.4 | -1.0 | Within noise |
 Daria SnigurWorld No. 42 | WTA | 33% | 8-16-0 | 11.6 | 10.7 | -0.9 | Within noise |
 Iga SwiatekWorld No. 9 | WTA | 33% | 8-16-0 | 12.5 | 12.0 | -0.5 | Within noise |
 Daniel Merida AguilarWorld No. 42 | ATP | 33% | 8-16-0 | 13.3 | 12.9 | -0.3 | Within noise |
 Tatjana MariaWorld No. 66 | WTA | 35% | 9-17-0 | 11.5 | 10.4 | -1.0 | Within noise |
 Sebastian BaezWorld No. 52 | ATP | 35% | 9-17-0 | 12.3 | 11.1 | -1.3 | Within noise |
 Sho ShimabukuroWorld No. 118 | ATP | 35% | 8-15-0 | 12.2 | 11.2 | -1.0 | Within noise |
 Vit KoprivaWorld No. 62 | ATP | 35% | 7-13-0 | 12.9 | 10.8 | -2.1 | Within noise |
Using prop line record on a prop
Start with the prop baseline
Games Won go over 49.8% of the time, so that is the number to compare a player with, not 50%. The average line is 11.97 and the average result is 11.85.
Compare the player
Katarzyna Kawa is 13-4 against the line, an average of 11.82 on an average line of 10.56. Lukas Neumayer is 5-16, 10.9 on 12.21.
Check if it repeats
A player's over rate on this prop in the first half of the window correlates -0.04 with the second half, across 171 players, so don't assume a run repeats.
Then look at the price
A hit rate is not a profit. Prices and payouts differ by app and by side. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.
How this is counted
Compares each player's final stat with the main line PickFinder stored for that player and match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble, leaving out alternate lines. Lines have been stored since May 12, 2026, one per player, match and prop. Results come from finished singles matches at every level, including Challenger and WTA 125. Retired matches and walkovers are left out, and a push counts as neither over nor under. A player needs 15+ lines to appear. Beyond noise tests a player's over rate against the 49.8% baseline at two standard deviations. The page shows hit rates, not returns: it doesn't hold the price on either side.
Prop line record FAQ
How often do tennis games won props go over?
49.8% of 10,857 posted lines since May 12, 2026, with 0 pushes. On the ATP it is 51.2%, and on the WTA 47.6%.
Who goes over their games won line most often?
Katarzyna Kawa: over on 13 of 17 lines, averaging 11.82 on an average line of 10.56.
Who goes under their games won line most often?
Lukas Neumayer: over on 5 of 21 lines, averaging 10.9 on an average line of 12.21.
Does a player's record against the line repeat?
Rarely. On this prop, the over rate in the first half of the window correlates -0.04 with the second half across 171 players.
Does a high hit rate mean the side is profitable?
No. This page counts hits, not returns. Prices and payouts differ by app and by side, and this table doesn't hold them.
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PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For tennis it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.
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