Prop line record
Tennis aces props: over and under record against the line
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Tennis aces props on PrizePicks, Underdog and Dabble have gone over 34.5% of the time since May 12, 2026, across 6,557 lines, with an average line of 5.29 and an average result of 4.61. Elvina Kalieva went over most often, on 11 of 15 lines, and Miomir Kecmanovic least often, on 0 of 20. 18 players sit outside the noise band, more than the 8.6 chance alone would produce.
- Aces overs, 6,557 lines
- 34.5%
- Average line / average result
- 5.3 / 4.6
- Players with 15+ lines
- 189
- Beyond noise. Chance alone gives about 8.6
- 18
Which tennis lines lean one way
Carries over: how well a player's over rate in the first half of the window matches the second half, for players with 8+ lines in each. Near 0 means a player's record against these lines tends not to repeat.
Aces lines by tour
Players who cleared the aces line most often
 Elvina KalievaWorld No. 120 | WTA | 73% | 11-4-0 | 4.5 | 4.8 | +0.3 | Beyond noise |
 Alexander BlockxWorld No. 28 | ATP | 69% | 11-5-0 | 9.3 | 10.4 | +1.1 | Beyond noise |
 Emma NavarroWorld No. 28 | WTA | 65% | 17-9-0 | 3.1 | 5.5 | +2.3 | Beyond noise |
 Nikola BartunkovaWorld No. 29 | WTA | 65% | 20-11-0 | 3.9 | 5.0 | +1.2 | Beyond noise |
 Lilli TaggerWorld No. 53 | WTA | 64% | 14-8-0 | 4.3 | 5.5 | +1.1 | Beyond noise |
 Leyre Romero GormazWorld No. 131 | WTA | 61% | 11-7-0 | 2.7 | 2.8 | +0.2 | Beyond noise |
 Katarzyna KawaWorld No. 115 | WTA | 60% | 9-6-0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | +0.4 | Beyond noise |
 Magda LinetteWorld No. 68 | WTA | 58% | 11-8-0 | 4.0 | 4.2 | +0.2 | Beyond noise |
 Marta KostyukWorld No. 10 | WTA | 56% | 14-11-0 | 3.6 | 4.5 | +0.9 | Beyond noise |
 Alina CharaevaWorld No. 82 | WTA | 56% | 15-12-0 | 3.8 | 3.8 | -0.0 | Beyond noise |
 Quentin HalysWorld No. 46 | ATP | 56% | 15-12-0 | 12.8 | 13.1 | +0.3 | Beyond noise |
 Ann LiWorld No. 31 | WTA | 55% | 17-14-0 | 4.6 | 5.3 | +0.7 | Beyond noise |
 Harriet DartWorld No. 84 | WTA | 55% | 12-10-0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.3 | Within noise |
 Linda NoskovaWorld No. 8 | WTA | 54% | 14-12-0 | 6.7 | 6.8 | +0.1 | Beyond noise |
 Maya JointWorld No. 90 | WTA | 54% | 15-13-0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | +0.5 | Beyond noise |
 Moyuka UchijimaWorld No. 123 | WTA | 53% | 8-7-0 | 2.4 | 2.7 | +0.2 | Within noise |
 Roman SafiullinWorld No. 71 | ATP | 53% | 8-7-0 | 9.1 | 8.8 | -0.3 | Within noise |
 Polina KudermetovaWorld No. 93 | WTA | 53% | 8-7-0 | 3.6 | 3.7 | +0.0 | Within noise |
 Arthur RinderknechWorld No. 68 | ATP | 53% | 10-9-0 | 14.0 | 15.7 | +1.8 | Within noise |
 Anna KalinskayaWorld No. 26 | WTA | 53% | 10-9-0 | 3.0 | 3.2 | +0.2 | Within noise |
 Maria SakkariWorld No. 30 | WTA | 52% | 15-14-0 | 3.8 | 3.8 | -0.1 | Within noise |
 Jessica PegulaWorld No. 5 | WTA | 50% | 15-15-0 | 3.9 | 4.2 | +0.3 | Within noise |
 Casper RuudWorld No. 23 | ATP | 50% | 10-10-0 | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.4 | Within noise |
 Panna UdvardyWorld No. 86 | WTA | 50% | 10-10-0 | 3.3 | 3.9 | +0.6 | Within noise |
 Tallon GriekspoorWorld No. 50 | ATP | 50% | 9-9-0 | 10.5 | 11.8 | +1.3 | Within noise |
Players who stayed under the aces line most often
 Miomir KecmanovicWorld No. 60 | ATP | 0% | 0-20-0 | 6.1 | 3.6 | -2.5 | Beyond noise |
 Shuai ZhangWorld No. 95 | WTA | 6% | 1-15-0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | Beyond noise |
 Cameron NorrieWorld No. 45 | ATP | 11% | 2-17-0 | 6.2 | 3.6 | -2.5 | Beyond noise |
 Sebastian BaezWorld No. 52 | ATP | 12% | 2-15-0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -1.8 | Within noise |
 Sho ShimabukuroWorld No. 118 | ATP | 13% | 2-13-0 | 9.5 | 6.2 | -3.3 | Within noise |
 Iga SwiatekWorld No. 9 | WTA | 13% | 4-26-0 | 2.3 | 1.2 | -1.2 | Beyond noise |
 Sinja KrausWorld No. 92 | WTA | 15% | 3-17-0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | -1.1 | Within noise |
 Mananchaya SawangkaewWorld No. 77 | WTA | 17% | 3-15-0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | -1.3 | Within noise |
 Jenson BrooksbyWorld No. 94 | ATP | 17% | 4-20-0 | 5.4 | 3.3 | -2.1 | Within noise |
 Adrian MannarinoWorld No. 59 | ATP | 18% | 5-23-0 | 6.4 | 4.3 | -2.1 | Within noise |
 Mariano NavoneWorld No. 48 | ATP | 18% | 5-23-0 | 3.7 | 2.5 | -1.2 | Within noise |
 Fabian MarozsanWorld No. 61 | ATP | 18% | 4-18-0 | 7.6 | 5.6 | -2.0 | Within noise |
 Learner TienWorld No. 19 | ATP | 19% | 5-22-0 | 6.1 | 4.8 | -1.3 | Within noise |
 Renata ZarazuaWorld No. 97 | WTA | 19% | 3-13-0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -0.6 | Within noise |
 Vit KoprivaWorld No. 62 | ATP | 19% | 3-13-0 | 5.8 | 4.3 | -1.6 | Within noise |
 Tamara KorpatschWorld No. 61 | WTA | 19% | 3-13-0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -0.8 | Within noise |
 Dominika SalkovaWorld No. 128 | WTA | 19% | 4-17-0 | 2.1 | 1.2 | -0.9 | Within noise |
 Lorenzo MusettiWorld No. 24 | ATP | 20% | 3-12-0 | 5.2 | 4.1 | -1.2 | Within noise |
 Mayar SherifWorld No. 56 | WTA | 20% | 3-12-0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | -1.3 | Within noise |
 Mary StoianaWorld No. 114 | WTA | 20% | 4-16-0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | -1.0 | Within noise |
 Xinyu WangWorld No. 38 | WTA | 20% | 4-16-0 | 4.0 | 2.8 | -1.3 | Within noise |
 Leylah FernandezWorld No. 18 | WTA | 21% | 5-19-0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | -0.7 | Within noise |
 Antonia RuzicWorld No. 81 | WTA | 21% | 4-15-0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | -1.0 | Within noise |
 Catherine McNallyWorld No. 65 | WTA | 21% | 4-15-0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | -1.2 | Within noise |
 Tomas Martin EtcheverryWorld No. 31 | ATP | 23% | 5-17-0 | 8.1 | 5.8 | -2.3 | Within noise |
Using prop line record on a prop
Start with the prop baseline
Aces go over 34.5% of the time, so that is the number to compare a player with, not 50%. The average line is 5.29 and the average result is 4.61.
Compare the player
Elvina Kalieva is 11-4 against the line, an average of 4.8 on an average line of 4.5. Miomir Kecmanovic is 0-20, 3.65 on 6.1.
Check if it repeats
A player's over rate on this prop in the first half of the window correlates 0.14 with the second half, across 123 players, so don't assume a run repeats.
Then look at the price
A hit rate is not a profit. Prices and payouts differ by app and by side. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.
How this is counted
Compares each player's final stat with the main line PickFinder stored for that player and match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble, leaving out alternate lines. Lines have been stored since May 12, 2026, one per player, match and prop. Results come from finished singles matches at every level, including Challenger and WTA 125. Retired matches and walkovers are left out, and a push counts as neither over nor under. A player needs 15+ lines to appear. Beyond noise tests a player's over rate against the 34.5% baseline at two standard deviations. The page shows hit rates, not returns: it doesn't hold the price on either side.
Prop line record FAQ
How often do tennis aces props go over?
34.5% of 6,557 posted lines since May 12, 2026, with 0 pushes. On the ATP it is 34.8%, and on the WTA 39.4%.
Who goes over their aces line most often?
Elvina Kalieva: over on 11 of 15 lines, averaging 4.8 on an average line of 4.5.
Who goes under their aces line most often?
Miomir Kecmanovic: over on 0 of 20 lines, averaging 3.65 on an average line of 6.1.
Does a player's record against the line repeat?
Rarely. On this prop, the over rate in the first half of the window correlates 0.14 with the second half across 123 players.
Does a high hit rate mean the side is profitable?
No. This page counts hits, not returns. Prices and payouts differ by app and by side, and this table doesn't hold them.
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PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For tennis it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.
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