Brandon Nakashima stats and props

ATP, World No. 18, Right-handed

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Brandon Nakashima went 35-23 over the last 52 weeks, with 10.3 aces and 1.2 double faults per match, 87.5% of service games held and 19% of return games broken. Best-of-three matches average 24.1 total games. That ranks 9th in hold % and 15th in aces among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches.

ATP world rank
No. 18
Record, 60% wins
35-23
Aces per match (tour 6.5)
10.3
Double faults per match
1.2
Hold % (tour 79.5%)
87.5%
Break % (tour 20.6%)
19.0%
Games won per match
14.0
Total games, best of 3 (tour 23.6)
24.1

Among 149 ATP players with 20+ tour-level matches: 9th in hold %, 95th in break % and 15th in aces per match. On the ATP serve vs return map, Brandon Nakashima sits in the big server corner.

Finished singles matches from the last 52 weeks, last played Oct 28. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour averages are tour-level matches only.

Brandon Nakashima by surface

Brandon Nakashima stats by surface
Hard3523-1210.59.01.413.624.889.5%17.1%
Indoor hard73-413.610.40.312.024.484.5%14.5%
Clay105-57.07.10.714.822.082.5%25.0%
Grass64-211.211.81.717.021.888.6%23.6%
All surfaces5835-2310.39.11.214.024.187.5%19.0%

How often Brandon Nakashima cleared common lines

Aces

Median 10, usual range 3 to 15.3

Aces: share of matches over each line
O 6.5O 8.5O 10.5O 12.5O 14.5
72%57%48%29%14%

Double faults

Median 1, usual range 0 to 3

Double faults: share of matches over each line
O 0.5O 1.5O 2.5O 3.5
59%34%16%7%

Games won

Median 13, usual range 8.7 to 19

Games won: share of matches over each line
O 9.5O 11.5O 13.5O 15.5O 17.5
88%83%41%31%19%

Total games

Best of 3, average 24.1 over 50

Total games: share of matches over each line
O 19.5O 20.5O 21.5O 22.5O 23.5
70%64%54%52%40%

The usual range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of 58 matches. Aces, double faults and games won count every match, best of five included. Today's exact lines are in the app.

Brandon Nakashima against posted prop lines

Brandon Nakashima over and under record against posted lines
Aces3316-17-049%10.511.2
Double Faults2010-10-050%1.61.8
Games Won3116-15-052%14.615.3
Total Games3216-16-050%26.728.1
Break Points Won2011-9-055%2.22.3

The main line stored for each match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble. A hit rate is not a profit, and small samples move a lot.

Brandon Nakashima against closing odds

Won, 35-23 in priced matches
60.3%
Average closing no-vig chance
58.4%
Gap in points, noise band ±12.2
+2.0
As favorite / as underdog
27-15 / 8-8

This gap sits inside the noise band, so chance alone could explain it. Across the tour, these gaps barely carry from one half of the year to the next. See ATP market beaters.

Brandon Nakashima last 10 matches

Brandon Nakashima last 10 finished matches
Oct 28Tallon GriekspoorWorld No. 50L1-6 6-4 6-7ViennaIndoor hardR321211330
Oct 23Flavio CobolliWorld No. 6L6-4 4-6 4-6LyonIndoor hardQF1311430
Oct 22Kyrian JacquetWorld No. 85W6-4 6-3LyonIndoor hardR161301219
Oct 20Hamad MedjedovicWorld No. 76W7-6 6-7 6-2LyonIndoor hardR322701934
Oct 11Alexander BublikWorld No. 22L7-6 3-6 6-7ShanghaiHardR321221635
Oct 9Matteo BerrettiniWorld No. 46W7-6 7-5ShanghaiHardR64511425
Oct 1Ugo HumbertWorld No. 32L3-6 2-6TokyoHardR3212517
Sep 2Alex MichelsenWorld No. 46L3-6 4-6 4-6US OpenHardR641041129
Aug 31Sebastian BaezWorld No. 51W6-2 6-1 6-0US OpenHardR1281301821
Aug 22Frances TiafoeWorld No. 23L5-7 3-6CincinnatiHardSF92821

Brandon Nakashima stats FAQ

How many aces does Brandon Nakashima average?

10.3 per match over 58 matches in the last 52 weeks, with a median of 10 and a usual range of 3 to 15.3. The ATP tour average is 6.5.

What is Brandon Nakashima's hold percentage?

87.5% of service games, with a break rate of 19% on return. The ATP tour averages are 79.5% and 20.6%.

How many games do Brandon Nakashima's matches usually go?

24.1 total games in best-of-three matches, against 23.6 for the ATP tour.

What is Brandon Nakashima's best surface?

Grass by win rate: 4-2 with 11.2 aces per match and 88.6% hold.

Has Brandon Nakashima beaten the betting market?

Brandon Nakashima won 60.3% of 58 priced matches against 58.4% implied at the close, a gap of +2.0 points. The noise band for that many matches is ±12.2, so chance alone could explain it.

When did Brandon Nakashima last play?

Oct 28, 2026, a loss to Tallon Griekspoor at Vienna, 1-6 6-4 6-7.

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