Ace matchups

ATP clay aces per match and aces allowed

PickFinder Team•Updated: Nov 2, 2026

For tennis aces props, read both players. Quentin Halys hits the most aces on ATP clay at 10.8 per match, against an average of 4.4. Frances Tiafoe gets aced the most, 14.1 per match and 0.81 per return game, while Titouan Droguet gets aced the least at 0.15 per return game. Reading both sides predicted the last 12 weeks of aces better than the server alone, with a correlation of 0.71 instead of 0.63.

ATP clay aces per match: 4.4
Most aces: Quentin Halys: 10.8
Most allowed per return game: Frances Tiafoe: 0.81
Fewest allowed per return game: Titouan Droguet: 0.15

Most aces per match, ATP clay

Quentin HalysWorld No. 46	10.8
Arthur RinderknechWorld No. 68	9.9
Ben SheltonWorld No. 4	8.6
Raphael CollignonWorld No. 55	8.5
Jesper De JongWorld No. 104	8.3
Alexei PopyrinWorld No. 126	8.3
Felix Auger-AliassimeWorld No. 13	8.0
Jakub MensikWorld No. 16	7.9
Alexander BublikWorld No. 26	7.8
Emilio NavaWorld No. 122	7.6

Ace magnets, ATP clay

Frances TiafoeWorld No. 8	14.1 a match
Nikoloz BasilashviliWorld No. 87	7.5 a match
Jan-Lennard StruffWorld No. 39	7.2 a match
Alejandro TabiloWorld No. 30	7.5 a match
Timofey SkatovWorld No. 201	6.6 a match
Alexander BublikWorld No. 26	6.6 a match
Valentin VacherotWorld No. 27	7.8 a match
Brandon NakashimaWorld No. 18	7.1 a match
Clement TaburWorld No. 156	6.6 a match
Miomir KecmanovicWorld No. 60	6.7 a match

Ace walls, ATP clay

Titouan DroguetWorld No. 79	1.8 a match
Henrique RochaWorld No. 99	1.8 a match
Damir DzumhurWorld No. 88	2.0 a match
Daniel Merida AguilarWorld No. 42	2.1 a match
Nicolai Budkov KjaerWorld No. 182	2.0 a match
Corentin MoutetWorld No. 110	2.3 a match
Mariano NavoneWorld No. 48	2.4 a match
Botic Van De ZandschulpWorld No. 37	2.6 a match
Lorenzo MusettiWorld No. 24	2.1 a match
Francisco CerundoloWorld No. 20	2.5 a match

Tour level only: ATP clay events, the Grand Slams and the Finals. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own view, because mixing them would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Minimum 10 finished matches in the last 52 weeks.

Does the returner really change the ace count?

Aces allowed: first 26 weeks vs last 26 (correlation): 0.64
Aces hit: first 26 weeks vs last 26 (correlation): 0.80
Predicting aces from the server alone, last 12 weeks: 0.63
Server and returner together, last 12 weeks: 0.71

Yes. Aces allowed repeat from one half of the year to the next, and reading both sides predicted the last 12 weeks of aces with an average miss of 2.86 aces, against 3.09 from the server alone, over 1,520 player matches. Rates came only from matches before those weeks.

What the returner does to the top ATP clay servers

Estimated aces over an average 12.1 service games: the server's rate, times the returner's index, times service games. The index is pulled toward 100 first, because only part of it repeats (correlation 0.64). A rough read for sizing an ace line, not a prediction.

Estimated aces for top ATP clay servers against the biggest ace magnet, an average returner and the biggest ace wall

Quentin HalysWorld No. 46	16.7	9.4	5.9
Arthur RinderknechWorld No. 68	17.0	9.6	6.0
Ben SheltonWorld No. 4	13.3	7.5	4.7
Raphael CollignonWorld No. 55	12.2	6.9	4.3
Jesper De JongWorld No. 104	13.7	7.7	4.9
Alexei PopyrinWorld No. 126	14.4	8.1	5.1
Felix Auger-AliassimeWorld No. 13	11.6	6.5	4.1
Jakub MensikWorld No. 16	11.4	6.4	4.0
Alexander BublikWorld No. 26	14.2	8.0	5.0
Emilio NavaWorld No. 122	14.0	7.9	4.9

Aces hit against aces allowed

ATP clay aces hit and allowed per game, last 52 weeks, 92 players. Dashed lines mark the average of the players shown.

ATP clay aces hit and allowed, sorted by aces per match

ATP clay aces hit and aces allowed by player, last 52 weeks

1	Quentin HalysWorld No. 46	10.8	0.78	214	6.6	0.49	135	16
2	Arthur RinderknechWorld No. 68	9.9	0.79	215	4.3	0.34	92	13
3	Ben SheltonWorld No. 4	8.6	0.62	169	4.2	0.30	82	13
4	Raphael CollignonWorld No. 55	8.5	0.57	156	5.8	0.39	107	11
5	Jesper De JongWorld No. 104	8.3	0.64	175	4.1	0.32	88	18
6	Alexei PopyrinWorld No. 126	8.3	0.67	182	5.0	0.41	112	12
7	Felix Auger-AliassimeWorld No. 13	8.0	0.54	148	3.7	0.25	70	12
8	Jakub MensikWorld No. 16	7.9	0.53	145	6.4	0.44	120	12
9	Alexander BublikWorld No. 26	7.8	0.66	180	6.6	0.57	156	16
10	Emilio NavaWorld No. 122	7.6	0.65	178	2.9	0.25	70	19
11	Yannick HanfmannWorld No. 58	7.5	0.62	170	6.0	0.49	133	23
12	Frances TiafoeWorld No. 8	7.4	0.42	115	14.1	0.81	221	11
13	Valentin VacherotWorld No. 27	7.3	0.51	140	7.8	0.55	150	10
14	Thiago Agustin TiranteWorld No. 53	7.1	0.57	157	4.4	0.35	97	21
15	Francisco ComesanaWorld No. 135	7.1	0.51	138	3.9	0.29	80	18
16	Brandon NakashimaWorld No. 18	7.0	0.51	140	7.1	0.52	143	10
17	Jiri LeheckaWorld No. 15	7.0	0.58	160	4.6	0.39	106	10
18	Ugo HumbertWorld No. 38	6.9	0.55	151	5.8	0.47	129	10
19	Jaime FariaWorld No. 57	6.8	0.50	137	6.3	0.47	130	20
20	Hamad MedjedovicWorld No. 77	6.8	0.52	142	6.0	0.46	127	13
21	Terence AtmaneWorld No. 73	6.6	0.52	142	6.1	0.48	132	10
22	Titouan DroguetWorld No. 79	6.5	0.53	145	1.8	0.15	42	13
23	Jan-Lennard StruffWorld No. 39	6.4	0.56	152	7.2	0.61	166	10
24	Stefanos TsitsipasWorld No. 34	6.3	0.46	127	4.9	0.36	98	15
25	Alexander BlockxWorld No. 28	6.1	0.48	132	2.9	0.23	63	22
26	Matteo BerrettiniWorld No. 43	6.1	0.47	128	5.4	0.40	110	15
27	Jurij RodionovWorld No. 142	5.9	0.52	142	4.5	0.39	107	11
28	Sebastian OfnerWorld No. 121	5.9	0.58	159	3.7	0.36	98	11
29	Juan Manuel CerundoloWorld No. 54	5.8	0.44	120	4.0	0.30	82	25
30	Alexander ZverevWorld No. 1	5.8	0.45	123	3.3	0.25	70	24
31	Nikoloz BasilashviliWorld No. 87	5.8	0.48	132	7.5	0.62	169	19
32	Matteo ArnaldiWorld No. 36	5.7	0.35	96	5.1	0.32	86	15
33	Nuno BorgesWorld No. 49	5.6	0.49	135	3.9	0.35	95	16
34	Alejandro TabiloWorld No. 30	5.5	0.44	120	7.5	0.60	165	24
35	Andrey RublevWorld No. 22	5.5	0.45	122	4.4	0.35	96	22
36	Karen KhachanovWorld No. 25	5.5	0.40	110	6.6	0.49	133	13
37	Aleksandar KovacevicWorld No. 84	5.2	0.40	109	6.1	0.47	128	12
38	Ethan QuinnWorld No. 64	5.1	0.42	116	5.2	0.43	116	11
39	Jannik SinnerWorld No. 2	4.9	0.46	126	3.3	0.31	85	19
40	Alexander ShevchenkoWorld No. 107	4.8	0.42	115	4.6	0.41	111	14
41	Tommy PaulWorld No. 14	4.7	0.33	90	3.9	0.27	75	15
42	Luciano DarderiWorld No. 21	4.6	0.39	106	4.3	0.36	100	33
43	Tomas Martin EtcheverryWorld No. 31	4.6	0.37	103	4.8	0.39	107	27
44	Flavio CobolliWorld No. 6	4.6	0.37	100	3.8	0.30	83	21
45	Daniel AltmaierWorld No. 63	4.5	0.38	104	3.1	0.26	70	19
46	Federico CinaWorld No. 136	4.5	0.36	99	5.9	0.47	129	14
47	Alex MichelsenWorld No. 35	4.4	0.36	97	5.9	0.48	130	12
48	Joao FonsecaWorld No. 41	4.3	0.29	80	6.2	0.42	115	17
49	Dusan LajovicWorld No. 163	4.3	0.40	109	5.5	0.50	137	15
50	Botic Van De ZandschulpWorld No. 37	4.3	0.35	96	2.6	0.21	58	13
51	Clement TaburWorld No. 156	4.3	0.33	91	6.6	0.51	140	12
52	Dino PrizmicWorld No. 92	4.2	0.35	95	2.9	0.25	67	23
53	Casper RuudWorld No. 23	4.2	0.33	92	3.1	0.26	70	22
54	Ignacio BuseWorld No. 33	4.1	0.32	89	3.1	0.25	67	27
55	Rafael JodarWorld No. 10	4.1	0.32	88	3.2	0.26	72	22
56	Pablo Carreno BustaWorld No. 74	4.1	0.31	86	4.4	0.33	89	11
57	Learner TienWorld No. 19	4.0	0.30	83	3.7	0.28	77	13
58	Marco TrungellitiWorld No. 91	3.8	0.31	86	5.3	0.44	120	21
59	Camilo Ugo CarabelliWorld No. 81	3.7	0.30	81	5.2	0.41	113	23
60	Cristian GarinWorld No. 171	3.6	0.29	80	5.7	0.46	125	16
61	Cameron NorrieWorld No. 45	3.6	0.29	78	4.6	0.36	99	10
62	Andrea PellegrinoWorld No. 140	3.5	0.31	84	5.7	0.49	134	23
63	Vilius GaubasWorld No. 147	3.5	0.31	86	4.4	0.40	109	22
64	Luca Van AsscheWorld No. 47	3.4	0.25	68	4.9	0.36	97	15
65	Vit KoprivaWorld No. 62	3.3	0.27	75	3.8	0.32	87	23
66	Francisco CerundoloWorld No. 20	3.3	0.30	83	2.5	0.22	61	22
67	Tomas MachacWorld No. 69	3.3	0.25	68	6.5	0.50	136	11
68	Alex MolcanWorld No. 78	3.2	0.28	78	4.5	0.40	109	19
69	Adolfo Daniel VallejoWorld No. 56	3.2	0.27	75	3.4	0.28	78	18
70	Martin LandaluceWorld No. 67	3.2	0.22	60	4.3	0.30	81	11
71	Timofey SkatovWorld No. 201	2.9	0.26	72	6.6	0.60	164	10
72	Henrique RochaWorld No. 99	2.8	0.25	68	1.8	0.17	46	12
73	Hugo DellienWorld No. 111	2.7	0.25	69	2.7	0.26	71	15
74	Roman Andres BurruchagaWorld No. 76	2.6	0.22	61	3.1	0.26	72	20
75	Fabian MarozsanWorld No. 61	2.6	0.22	62	4.0	0.34	93	11
76	Elmer MollerWorld No. 150	2.5	0.23	64	2.7	0.27	73	11
77	Lorenzo MusettiWorld No. 24	2.4	0.24	65	2.1	0.21	57	10
78	Arthur FilsWorld No. 7	2.4	0.21	57	4.6	0.41	112	10
79	Daniel Merida AguilarWorld No. 42	2.3	0.20	55	2.1	0.18	50	23
80	Miomir KecmanovicWorld No. 60	2.3	0.17	48	6.7	0.51	140	10
81	Nicolai Budkov KjaerWorld No. 182	2.2	0.21	57	2.0	0.19	51	13
82	Alex De MinaurWorld No. 9	2.2	0.18	49	2.8	0.23	62	13
83	Alexandre MullerWorld No. 146	2.2	0.21	59	4.0	0.40	109	12
84	Alejandro Davidovich FokinaWorld No. 17	2.1	0.16	45	3.3	0.26	70	10
85	Corentin MoutetWorld No. 110	2.0	0.17	47	2.3	0.19	52	10
86	Hugo GastonWorld No. 108	1.8	0.16	44	3.6	0.32	88	12
87	Sebastian BaezWorld No. 52	1.4	0.13	36	4.6	0.44	121	22
88	Pablo Llamas RuizWorld No. 141	1.4	0.11	30	5.6	0.45	123	11
89	Tomas Barrios VeraWorld No. 154	1.4	0.13	35	4.9	0.43	117	10
90	Mariano NavoneWorld No. 48	1.0	0.09	24	2.4	0.20	56	26
91	Damir DzumhurWorld No. 88	1.0	0.09	24	2.0	0.17	47	20
92	Pedro MartinezWorld No. 124	0.9	0.08	22	4.8	0.44	121	20

Using ace matchups on a prop

Start with the server
Quentin Halys hits 0.78 aces per service game. That is a serve index of 214, where 100 is the ATP clay average of 0.37.
Check who is returning
Frances Tiafoe has a return index of 221, the highest here. Titouan Droguet has 42, the lowest. A line that ignores the returner ignores that gap.
Multiply it out
Over an average 12.1 service games, Quentin Halys works out to about 9.4 aces against an average returner, 16.7 against Frances Tiafoe and 5.9 against Titouan Droguet. The returner's index is pulled toward 100 first, because only part of it repeats (correlation 0.64).
Adjust for the court
Then check the court speed index for this week's event. Aces per match change a lot from clay to grass. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Counts finished singles matches, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026. Aces per match is the player's aces divided by matches. Aces allowed are the opponent's aces in those matches. Per-game rates divide by service games played and by the opponent's service games, so a long match doesn't inflate them. Serve and return indexes compare those rates with the ATP clay average, set to 100. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour level means ATP events, the Grand Slams and the Finals, qualifying included. Challenger and WTA 125 matches are left out and have their own view, because they would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Team cups are left out too. A player needs 10+ matches to appear. Hard includes indoor hard. The correlations compare the first 26 weeks with the last 26 for players at this level with 80+ games in each, across all surfaces, and the prediction test sets rates only from matches before the last 12 weeks.

Ace matchups FAQ

Who hits the most aces per match on ATP clay?

Quentin Halys at 10.8 per match over 16 matches, or 0.78 per service game. The average is 4.4 per match.

Who gives up the most aces on ATP clay?

Frances Tiafoe allows 14.1 aces per match and 0.81 per return game over 11 matches. That is a return index of 221, where 100 is average.

Who is hardest to ace on ATP clay?

Titouan Droguet allows 0.15 aces per return game over 13 matches, a return index of 42.

Are aces allowed a real skill or just luck?

A player's aces allowed in the first 26 weeks correlated 0.64 with the last 26 across 143 players, so it repeats. Aces hit correlated 0.8. Adding the returner moved the average miss on aces from 3.09 to 2.86 over the last 12 weeks.

Why use per-game rates as well as per-match?

Match length moves the count. An average ATP clay match has 12.1 service games per player, and a player who wins quickly serves fewer. Per-game rates take that out.

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