WTA 125 aces per match and aces allowed

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

For tennis aces props, read both players. Viktoria Hruncakova hits the most aces in WTA 125 events at 6.6 per match, against an average of 1.7. Viktoria Hruncakova gets aced the most, 3.4 per match and 0.33 per return game, while Maria Timofeeva gets aced the least at 0.01 per return game. Reading both sides predicted the last 12 weeks of aces better than the server alone, with a correlation of 0.52 instead of 0.47.

WTA 125 aces per match
1.7
Most aces: Viktoria Hruncakova
6.6
Most allowed per return game: Viktoria Hruncakova
0.33
Fewest allowed per return game: Maria Timofeeva
0.01

WTA 125 matches only, kept apart from the main tour so the numbers compare like with like. Minimum 15 finished matches in the last 52 weeks.

Does the returner really change the ace count?

Aces allowed: first 26 weeks vs last 26 (correlation)
0.46
Aces hit: first 26 weeks vs last 26 (correlation)
0.63
Predicting aces from the server alone, last 12 weeks
0.47
Server and returner together, last 12 weeks
0.52

Yes. Aces allowed repeat from one half of the year to the next, and reading both sides predicted the last 12 weeks of aces with an average miss of 1.33 aces, against 1.36 from the server alone, over 558 player matches. Rates came only from matches before those weeks.

What the returner does to the top WTA 125 servers

Estimated aces over an average 10.5 service games: the server's rate, times the returner's index, times service games. The index is pulled toward 100 first, because only part of it repeats (correlation 0.46). A rough read for sizing an ace line, not a prediction.

Estimated aces for top WTA 125 servers against the biggest ace magnet, an average returner and the biggest ace wall
Viktoria HruncakovaWorld No. 22310.06.83.9
Elsa JacquemotWorld No. 1306.94.72.7
Rebeka MasarovaWorld No. 1576.84.62.7
Darja VidmanovaWorld No. 946.54.42.5
Lanlana TararudeeWorld No. 636.24.22.4
Mona BarthelWorld No. 1936.24.22.4
Elvina KalievaWorld No. 1206.04.12.4
Ashlyn KruegerWorld No. 415.73.92.2
Dalma GalfiWorld No. 1555.84.02.3
Alina CharaevaWorld No. 825.43.72.1

Aces hit against aces allowed

-0.040.140.330.520.70-0.020.080.170.260.36Few aces, aced oftenBig serve, aced oftenFew aces, rarely acedBig serve, rarely acedViktoria Hruncakova: 0.65, 0.33Jacquemot: 0.45, 0.19JacquemotMasarova: 0.44, 0.05MasarovaVidmanova: 0.42, 0.16VidmanovaLanlana Tararudee: 0.40, 0.16Mona Barthel: 0.40, 0.18Elvina Kalieva: 0.39, 0.28Ashlyn Krueger: 0.37, 0.13Dalma Galfi: 0.38, 0.13Alina Charaeva: 0.35, 0.18Lola Radivojevic: 0.34, 0.26Chloe Paquet: 0.33, 0.13Bianca Andreescu: 0.32, 0.16Anna-Lena Friedsam: 0.32, 0.21Gabriela Knutson: 0.30, 0.20Linda Klimovicova: 0.33, 0.28Weronika Falkowska: 0.28, 0.13Teodora Kostovic: 0.28, 0.24Anouk Koevermans: 0.30, 0.09Claire Liu: 0.27, 0.11Polina Kudermetova: 0.27, 0.28Sofia Costoulas: 0.28, 0.23Polona Hercog: 0.22, 0.06Bandecchi: 0.21, 0.29BandecchiEn-Shuo Liang: 0.24, 0.22Tatjana Maria: 0.26, 0.14Okamura: 0.25, 0.32OkamuraPanna Udvardy: 0.24, 0.10Alina Korneeva: 0.24, 0.13Varvara Lepchenko: 0.21, 0.10Antonia Ruzic: 0.20, 0.15Leyre Romero Gormaz: 0.20, 0.12Carol Young Suh Lee: 0.22, 0.26Polina Iatcenko: 0.20, 0.29Noma Noha Akugue: 0.21, 0.06Moyuka Uchijima: 0.18, 0.12Mananchaya Sawangkaew: 0.22, 0.16Lucija Ciric Bagaric: 0.22, 0.11Kaitlin Quevedo: 0.18, 0.14Caroline Werner: 0.18, 0.17Julia Riera: 0.17, 0.10Tatiana Prozorova: 0.20, 0.20Yue Yuan: 0.18, 0.19Erika Andreeva: 0.19, 0.16Mia Ristic: 0.16, 0.17Laura Samson: 0.16, 0.10Anna Blinkova: 0.16, 0.16Himeno Sakatsume: 0.16, 0.18Leolia Jeanjean: 0.13, 0.18Elizara Yaneva: 0.14, 0.14Elena Pridankina: 0.14, 0.13Salkova: 0.13, 0.32SalkovaFrancesca Jones: 0.14, 0.19Emerson Jones: 0.12, 0.28Simona Waltert: 0.13, 0.14Nuria Brancaccio: 0.13, 0.07Tamara Korpatsch: 0.12, 0.12Darja Semenistaja: 0.12, 0.17Mary Stoiana: 0.12, 0.26Burel: 0.14, 0.04BurelTiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah: 0.12, 0.18Dalila Jakupovic: 0.16, 0.15Solana Sierra: 0.14, 0.17Timofeeva: 0.14, 0.01TimofeevaAnhelina Kalinina: 0.13, 0.20Katarzyna Kawa: 0.13, 0.14Oksana Selekhmeteva: 0.12, 0.07Luisina Giovannini: 0.13, 0.05Lucia Bronzetti: 0.12, 0.18Julia Grabher: 0.10, 0.11Alevtina Ibragimova: 0.10, 0.14Laura Pigossi: 0.10, 0.07Elizabeth Mandlik: 0.11, 0.19Miriam Bulgaru: 0.12, 0.19Oleksandra Oliynykova: 0.10, 0.07Barbora Palicova: 0.09, 0.15Jeline Vandromme: 0.09, 0.15Whitney Osuigwe: 0.11, 0.09Suzan Lamens: 0.10, 0.14Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: 0.10, 0.12Mayar Sherif: 0.09, 0.09Lisa Pigato: 0.10, 0.21Andrea Lazaro Garcia: 0.09, 0.14Iryna Shymanovich: 0.10, 0.16Katarina Zavatska: 0.10, 0.15Dalila Spiteri: 0.09, 0.13Carole Monnet: 0.09, 0.10Fiona Ferro: 0.09, 0.15Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales: 0.08, 0.07Ayla Aksu: 0.08, 0.20Vendula Valdmannova: 0.09, 0.25Ekaterine Gorgodze: 0.07, 0.21Tamara Zidansek: 0.07, 0.11Alice Tubello: 0.07, 0.08Anastasia Gasanova: 0.07, 0.19Veronika Erjavec: 0.07, 0.10Maria Lourdes Carle: 0.06, 0.06Anastasia Zolotareva: 0.07, 0.13Irene Burillo Escorihuela: 0.05, 0.11Mai Hontama: 0.05, 0.16Marina Bassols Ribera: 0.05, 0.17Sinja Kraus: 0.06, 0.18Alicia Herrero Linana: 0.05, 0.11Maja Chwalinska: 0.05, 0.11Viktorija Golubic: 0.04, 0.15Despina Papamichail: 0.04, 0.05Yasmine Kabbaj: 0.04, 0.16Angelina Voloshchuk: 0.03, 0.18Sara Sorribes Tormo: 0.03, 0.08Elina Avanesyan: 0.03, 0.09Jazmin Ortenzi: 0.03, 0.06Ane Mintegi Del Olmo: 0.03, 0.09Lucrezia Stefanini: 0.02, 0.07Noemi Basiletti: 0.02, 0.12Jessica Pieri: 0.01, 0.20Aces hit per service gameAces allowed per return game
WTA 125 aces hit and allowed per game, last 52 weeks, 115 players. Dashed lines mark the average of the players shown.

WTA 125 aces hit and allowed, sorted by aces per match

WTA 125 aces hit and aces allowed by player, last 52 weeks
1Viktoria HruncakovaWorld No. 2236.60.653953.40.3320117
2Elsa JacquemotWorld No. 1305.10.452732.20.1911721
3Rebeka MasarovaWorld No. 1575.00.442660.60.053122
4Darja VidmanovaWorld No. 944.90.422571.90.169925
5Lanlana TararudeeWorld No. 634.30.402461.60.169525
6Mona BarthelWorld No. 1934.30.402411.80.1810723
7Elvina KalievaWorld No. 1204.30.392403.10.2817119
8Ashlyn KruegerWorld No. 414.30.372281.50.137915
9Dalma GalfiWorld No. 1553.90.382291.30.138024
10Alina CharaevaWorld No. 823.60.352122.00.1811335
11Lola RadivojevicWorld No. 2753.50.342062.80.2616021
12Chloe PaquetWorld No. 3333.50.332021.30.137716
13Bianca AndreescuWorld No. 1093.40.321931.70.169521
14Anna-Lena FriedsamWorld No. 2503.40.321932.20.2112917
15Gabriela KnutsonWorld No. 1593.30.301822.30.2012226
16Linda KlimovicovaWorld No. 2563.20.332022.90.2817218
17Weronika FalkowskaWorld No. 2773.20.281721.50.138117
18Teodora KostovicWorld No. 1413.10.281682.70.2414730
19Anouk KoevermansWorld No. 2413.10.301811.00.095816
20Claire LiuWorld No. 1023.00.271621.20.116615
21Polina KudermetovaWorld No. 932.90.271672.90.2816830
22Sofia CostoulasWorld No. 1832.90.281702.40.2313918
23Polona HercogWorld No. 2012.50.221350.70.063931
24Susan BandecchiWorld No. 1652.50.211273.40.2917519
25En-Shuo LiangWorld No. 3302.50.241462.20.2213517
26Tatjana MariaWorld No. 662.50.261571.30.148515
27Kyoka OkamuraWorld No. 2492.50.251523.30.3219315
28Panna UdvardyWorld No. 862.40.241490.90.105817
29Alina KorneevaWorld No. 762.40.241471.40.138117
30Varvara LepchenkoWorld No. 1992.30.211261.10.106227
31Antonia RuzicWorld No. 812.30.201231.80.159316
32Leyre Romero GormazWorld No. 1312.20.201241.30.127137
33Carol Young Suh LeeWorld No. 1532.20.221352.70.2615821
34Polina IatcenkoWorld No. 1692.20.201233.10.2917515
35Noma Noha AkugueWorld No. 1182.10.211250.60.063636
36Moyuka UchijimaWorld No. 1232.10.181101.40.127226
37Mananchaya SawangkaewWorld No. 772.10.221341.60.169525
38Lucija Ciric BagaricWorld No. 3872.10.221321.10.116915
39Kaitlin QuevedoWorld No. 712.00.181111.50.148524
40Caroline WernerWorld No. 2722.00.181081.80.1710124
41Julia RieraWorld No. 1372.00.171011.30.106422
42Tatiana ProzorovaWorld No. 1242.00.201201.90.2011921
43Yue YuanWorld No. 1682.00.181112.00.1911417
44Erika AndreevaWorld No. 2121.90.191151.60.169519
45Mia RisticWorld No. 1841.70.161001.70.1710136
46Laura SamsonWorld No. 1161.70.16991.10.106033
47Anna BlinkovaWorld No. 1051.70.161001.60.169727
48Himeno SakatsumeWorld No. 1291.70.161001.90.1811022
49Leolia JeanjeanWorld No. 911.60.13822.10.1810934
50Elizara YanevaWorld No. 1381.60.14851.50.148324
51Elena PridankinaWorld No. 2061.60.14881.30.137823
52Dominika SalkovaWorld No. 1281.50.13823.50.3219530
53Francesca JonesWorld No. 981.50.14842.00.1911329
54Emerson JonesWorld No. 1321.50.12753.30.2817315
55Simona WaltertWorld No. 1331.40.13801.60.148729
56Nuria BrancaccioWorld No. 2281.40.13790.80.074427
57Tamara KorpatschWorld No. 611.40.12751.30.127222
58Darja SemenistajaWorld No. 1731.40.12742.00.1710622
59Mary StoianaWorld No. 1141.40.12743.00.2615921
60Clara BurelWorld No. 1441.40.14840.40.042518
61Tiantsoa Rakotomanga RajaonahWorld No. 4491.40.12762.00.1810816
62Dalila JakupovicWorld No. 3831.40.16971.40.158916
63Solana SierraWorld No. 1041.40.14831.70.1710215
64Maria TimofeevaWorld No. 701.40.14870.10.01815
65Anhelina KalininaWorld No. 551.30.13772.10.2012327
66Katarzyna KawaWorld No. 1151.30.13811.40.148827
67Oksana SelekhmetevaWorld No. 1221.30.12720.90.074623
68Luisina GiovanniniWorld No. 1911.30.13780.50.053016
69Lucia BronzettiWorld No. 1341.20.12731.80.1810741
70Julia GrabherWorld No. 1121.20.10641.20.116530
71Alevtina IbragimovaWorld No. 1621.20.10601.60.148621
72Laura PigossiWorld No. 2601.20.10630.80.074120
73Elizabeth MandlikWorld No. 2211.20.11682.20.1911717
74Miriam BulgaruWorld No. 3741.10.12701.90.1911923
75Oleksandra OliynykovaWorld No. 621.10.10600.70.074021
76Barbora PalicovaWorld No. 1771.10.09581.70.159018
77Jeline VandrommeWorld No. 1261.10.09541.60.158817
78Whitney OsuigweWorld No. 2331.10.11690.90.095416
79Suzan LamensWorld No. 1891.10.10631.50.148816
80Jessica Bouzas ManeiroWorld No. 1001.10.10621.30.127215
81Mayar SherifWorld No. 561.00.09541.00.095542
82Lisa PigatoWorld No. 1081.00.10602.20.2112826
83Andrea Lazaro GarciaWorld No. 1401.00.09561.50.148624
84Iryna ShymanovichWorld No. 2261.00.10581.70.169920
85Katarina ZavatskaWorld No. 2421.00.10621.40.158916
86Dalila SpiteriWorld No. 3681.00.09571.30.137915
87Carole MonnetWorld No. 2180.90.09561.10.106136
88Fiona FerroWorld No. 960.90.09521.60.159234
89Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De RealesWorld No. 1420.90.08510.70.074026
90Ayla AksuWorld No. 1500.90.08492.10.2012021
91Vendula ValdmannovaWorld No. 1660.90.09572.30.2515515
92Ekaterine GorgodzeWorld No. 1790.80.07432.40.2112729
93Tamara ZidansekWorld No. 1390.80.07421.30.116928
94Alice TubelloWorld No. 1520.80.07411.00.085122
95Anastasia GasanovaWorld No. 2040.80.07442.10.1911515
96Veronika ErjavecWorld No. 1580.70.07451.00.105934
97Maria Lourdes CarleWorld No. 2320.70.06340.60.063419
98Anastasia ZolotarevaWorld No. 3180.70.07421.40.138015
99Irene Burillo EscorihuelaWorld No. 2190.60.05291.40.116617
100Mai HontamaWorld No. 1600.60.05331.70.169916
101Marina Bassols RiberaWorld No. 1250.50.05331.70.1710526
102Sinja KrausWorld No. 920.50.06341.70.1810826
103Alicia Herrero LinanaWorld No. 2240.50.05291.20.116824
104Maja ChwalinskaWorld No. 120.50.05311.10.116922
105Viktorija GolubicWorld No. 890.50.04271.80.159416
106Despina PapamichailWorld No. 2090.40.04220.50.053029
107Yasmine KabbajWorld No. 2540.40.04241.70.1610027
108Angelina VoloshchukWorld No. 3260.40.03202.00.1811017
109Sara Sorribes TormoWorld No. 1640.30.03170.90.084928
110Elina AvanesyanWorld No. 1490.30.03160.90.095518
111Jazmin OrtenziWorld No. 1800.30.03180.60.063617
112Ane Mintegi Del OlmoWorld No. 2080.30.03150.90.095416
113Lucrezia StefaniniWorld No. 1170.20.02100.80.074228
114Noemi BasilettiWorld No. 2360.20.02131.20.127219
115Jessica PieriWorld No. 3450.10.0191.80.2012216

Using ace matchups on a prop

  1. Start with the server

    Viktoria Hruncakova hits 0.65 aces per service game. That is a serve index of 395, where 100 is the WTA 125 average of 0.16.

  2. Check who is returning

    Viktoria Hruncakova has a return index of 201, the highest here. Maria Timofeeva has 8, the lowest. A line that ignores the returner ignores that gap.

  3. Multiply it out

    Over an average 10.5 service games, Viktoria Hruncakova works out to about 6.8 aces against an average returner, 10.0 against Viktoria Hruncakova and 3.9 against Maria Timofeeva. The returner's index is pulled toward 100 first, because only part of it repeats (correlation 0.46).

  4. Adjust for the court

    Then check the court speed index for this week's event. Aces per match change a lot from clay to grass. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Counts finished singles matches, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026. Aces per match is the player's aces divided by matches. Aces allowed are the opponent's aces in those matches. Per-game rates divide by service games played and by the opponent's service games, so a long match doesn't inflate them. Serve and return indexes compare those rates with the WTA 125 average, set to 100. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Only WTA 125 matches count here, qualifying included. Main tour matches have their own view. A player needs 15+ matches to appear. Hard includes indoor hard. The correlations compare the first 26 weeks with the last 26 for players at this level with 80+ games in each, across all surfaces, and the prediction test sets rates only from matches before the last 12 weeks.

Ace matchups FAQ

Who hits the most aces per match in WTA 125 events?

Viktoria Hruncakova at 6.6 per match over 17 matches, or 0.65 per service game. The average is 1.7 per match.

Who gives up the most aces in WTA 125 events?

Viktoria Hruncakova allows 3.4 aces per match and 0.33 per return game over 17 matches. That is a return index of 201, where 100 is average.

Who is hardest to ace in WTA 125 events?

Maria Timofeeva allows 0.01 aces per return game over 15 matches, a return index of 8.

Are aces allowed a real skill or just luck?

A player's aces allowed in the first 26 weeks correlated 0.46 with the last 26 across 49 players, so it partly repeats. Aces hit correlated 0.63. Adding the returner moved the average miss on aces from 1.36 to 1.33 over the last 12 weeks.

Why use per-game rates as well as per-match?

Match length moves the count. An average WTA 125 match has 10.5 service games per player, and a player who wins quickly serves fewer. Per-game rates take that out.

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