Prop results and minutes
Liga MX prop results and minutes security
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Pass Attempts is the most posted prop we track in Liga MX, and it went over the main line 46% of 443 times. Goalie Saves went over the most, at 55%, and Shots Attempted the least, at 41%.
A line on a player who ends up on the bench rarely clears: Pass Attempts went over 49% for starters and 0% for bench players.
28% of forward and midfielder starts end before minute 70. Those who played 90 cleared 1.5 shots 47% of the time, and those off between minutes 60 and 74 cleared it 36%. Based on 133 Liga MX matches in the 2026 Apertura, Jul 17, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026.
How often Liga MX props went over the posted line
Each row is a player game with a main line on the board. Prices aren't in these numbers, so this is how often it went over, not whether betting it made money.
Liga MX over rate at each line
Lines with 15 or more posted games. Whole-number lines can push, which is why the over rate there looks low.
What minutes do to a Liga MX shots prop
Forwards and midfielders only. 28% of their starts ended before minute 70, and 49% went 85 minutes or more. This describes what happened: some of these players came off because the game was already going badly.
Liga MX attackers most often off before minute 70
Forwards and midfielders with at least one posted line and 6 or more starts. Includes substitutions, injuries and red cards.
Liga MX attackers who stay on
Using prop results and minutes on a prop
Check the player will start
Off the bench, Liga MX forwards and midfielders average 0.67 shots and clear 1.5 shots 15% of the time. Started and played 90, it's 1.76 shots and 47%. Confirm the lineup before anything else.
Look up the hook risk
Fernando Beltrán (Club León) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 9 starts, averaging 60 minutes. Roberto Alvarado (CD Guadalajara) went 85 or more in 100% of 14 starts. The same line means less for the first player.
Size up the minutes
A starter off between minutes 60 and 74 clears 1.5 shots 36% of the time, against 47% for a full 90. Some of that gap is game state, since players get pulled when things go badly, so treat it as a description rather than a rule.
Check today's line
Pass Attempts goes over 46% of the time in Liga MX, on an average line of 34.16, and prices aren't in that number. Today's line, every book's price and the hit rate against that line are in PickFinder.
How this is counted
Results use 593 player games with a posted main line in 133 Liga MX matches in the 2026 Apertura, Jul 17, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026. The line is the most recent main line in PickFinder's archive before the match, stamped onto the player's row, not any one book's closing number, and alternate lines are left out. Over means strictly over the line and a result on the line is a push. Prices aren't included. Fantasy score lines are PrizePicks' and use its scoring. Markets need 25 or more lines, single lines 15. Minutes tables cover forwards and midfielders; early exits include substitutions, injuries and red cards, and players need 6 or more starts and at least one posted line. Start rate counts starts for the player's current team out of its matches since the player first appeared for it. Only matches with full Opta coverage in OpticOdds are counted, so a match with missing stats never reads as zeros.
Prop results and minutes FAQ
Which Liga MX prop goes over most often?
Goalie Saves, at 55% of 170 posted lines. Lowest is Shots Attempted, at 41% of 94.
Do soccer props go over or under more?
In Liga MX, 2 of 7 markets we track went over at least half the time. Prices aren't included, so a market going under more often isn't automatically a good bet.
Which Liga MX attackers get subbed early the most?
Fernando Beltrán (Club León) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 9 starts, followed by Arturo González (Atlas) at 67%.
Which Liga MX attackers have the safest minutes?
Roberto Alvarado (CD Guadalajara) played 85 or more in 100% of 14 starts, with a 93% start rate.
How often do starters come off before 70 minutes?
28% of forward and midfielder starts in Liga MX. Those off before minute 60 cleared 1.5 shots 24% of the time.
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