Brasileirão prop results and minutes security

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Pass Attempts is the most posted prop we track in the Brasileirão, and it went over the main line 51% of 112 times. Fantasy Score went over the most, at 55%, and Pass Attempts the least, at 51%.

A line on a player who ends up on the bench rarely clears: Pass Attempts went over 55% for starters and 9% for bench players.

30% of forward and midfielder starts end before minute 70. Those who played 90 cleared 1.5 shots 46% of the time, and those off between minutes 60 and 74 cleared it 38%. Based on 329 Brasileirão matches in the 2026 season, Jan 28, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026.

How often Brasileirão props went over the posted line

Each row is a player game with a main line on the board. Prices aren't in these numbers, so this is how often it went over, not whether betting it made money.

Brasileirão over rate by prop market
Pass Attempts11233.2151%0%55%1019%11
Fantasy Score9710.0855%0%58%88-9
Shots Attempted291.9338%3%50%22-7
Shots Assisted251.2244%12%45%22-3

What minutes do to a Brasileirão shots prop

Forwards and midfielders only. 30% of their starts ended before minute 70, and 43% went 85 minutes or more. This describes what happened: some of these players came off because the game was already going badly.

Brasileirão shot results by minutes played
Off the bench259440%200.5713%16%-
Started, off before 605138%480.6516%16%-
Started, off 60 to 74102516%671.3338%36%-
Started, off 75 to 89105216%821.6848%43%-
Started, played 90134321%901.7246%39%-

Brasileirão attackers most often off before minute 70

Forwards and midfielders with at least one posted line and 13 or more starts. Includes substitutions, injuries and red cards.

Brasileirão players most often off before minute 70
Juan PortillaClub Athletico Paranaense, M1339%6115%77%0.45
Bernard Anício Caldeira DuarteClube Atlético Mineiro, M2061%6720%50%1.47
Márcio Antônio de Sousa JúniorChapecoense AF, F2475%7025%50%1.44
Francis AmuzuGrêmio FB Porto Alegrense, F2370%7439%39%2.26
Keny ArroyoCruzeiro EC, M2164%7229%38%3.21
Samuel Dias LinoCR Flamengo, M2782%7733%37%3.12
Álvaro BarrealSantos FC Sao Paulo, M2164%7433%29%2.43
Cristian OliveraEC Bahia, F2164%7648%29%1.86
Yannick BolasieChapecoense AF, F1753%7741%29%2.27
Daniel de Oliveira SertanejoSão Paulo, M2164%7738%29%0.50
Giorgian de ArrascaetaCR Flamengo, M1855%7733%28%3.11
Agustín CanobbioFluminense, M2267%7745%27%2.13
Lucas RomeroCruzeiro EC, M2267%7855%27%0.90
Cristian PavónGrêmio FB Porto Alegrense, F2679%8062%27%1.08
Isidro PittaRed Bull Bragantino, F2063%7850%25%2.53
Erick NoriegaGrêmio FB Porto Alegrense, M2166%7957%24%0.98
Emmanuel MartínezEC Vitória, M2477%8279%21%0.59
Lucas Ronier Vieira PiresCoritiba FBC, F1752%8165%18%2.28
Alan FrancoClube Atlético Mineiro, M2267%8582%18%0.34
Sebastián GómezCoritiba FBC, M2988%8159%17%0.92
Rodrigo GarroSC Corinthians Paulista, M2473%8150%17%2.33
Nicolás AcevedoEC Bahia, M3091%8367%17%1.12
Rodrigo Nestor BertaliaEC Bahia, M1958%7942%16%2.51
Matheus Henrique de SouzaCruzeiro EC, M1339%8177%15%0.85
Luiz Gustavo DiasClub Athletico Paranaense, M2681%8165%15%1.44

Brasileirão attackers who stay on

Brasileirão players with the safest minutes
Kevin ViverosClub Athletico Paranaense, F3194%8890%3%2.90
Alan FrancoClube Atlético Mineiro, M2267%8582%18%0.34
Alejo VélizEC Bahia, F14100%8779%7%2.68
Emmanuel MartínezEC Vitória, M2477%8279%21%0.59
Matheus Henrique de SouzaCruzeiro EC, M1339%8177%15%0.85
Steven MendozaClub Athletico Paranaense, F33100%8476%15%1.50
Jonathan CalleriSão Paulo, F2576%8472%8%2.36
Yuri Alberto Monteiro da SilvaSC Corinthians Paulista, F2164%8571%5%2.66
Thiago Henrique Mendes RibeiroCR Vasco da Gama, M2888%8368%14%1.08
Nicolás AcevedoEC Bahia, M3091%8367%17%1.12
Kaio Jorge Pinto RamosCruzeiro EC, F2473%8367%13%2.45
Erick PulgarCR Flamengo, M2164%8167%14%1.00
Luiz Gustavo DiasClub Athletico Paranaense, M2681%8165%15%1.44
Lucas Ronier Vieira PiresCoritiba FBC, F1752%8165%18%2.28
Jorge Luiz Frello FilhoCR Flamengo, M2267%8564%5%0.58
Cristian PavónGrêmio FB Porto Alegrense, F2679%8062%27%1.08
Sebastián GómezCoritiba FBC, M2988%8159%17%0.92
Erick NoriegaGrêmio FB Porto Alegrense, M2166%7957%24%0.98
Andreas Hugo Hoelgebaum PereiraSE Palmeiras, M3194%8055%13%1.41
Lucas RomeroCruzeiro EC, M2267%7855%27%0.90
Tomás CuelloClube Atlético Mineiro, F2164%8152%14%2.69
Rodrigo GarroSC Corinthians Paulista, M2473%8150%17%2.33
Johan CarboneroSC Internacional, F2267%8250%14%2.61
Isidro PittaRed Bull Bragantino, F2063%7850%25%2.53
Cristian OliveraEC Bahia, F2164%7648%29%1.86

Using prop results and minutes on a prop

  1. Check the player will start

    Off the bench, Brasileirão forwards and midfielders average 0.57 shots and clear 1.5 shots 13% of the time. Started and played 90, it's 1.72 shots and 46%. Confirm the lineup before anything else.

  2. Look up the hook risk

    Juan Portilla (Club Athletico Paranaense) came off before minute 70 in 77% of 13 starts, averaging 61 minutes. Kevin Viveros (Club Athletico Paranaense) went 85 or more in 90% of 31 starts. The same line means less for the first player.

  3. Size up the minutes

    A starter off between minutes 60 and 74 clears 1.5 shots 38% of the time, against 46% for a full 90. Some of that gap is game state, since players get pulled when things go badly, so treat it as a description rather than a rule.

  4. Check today's line

    Pass Attempts goes over 51% of the time in the Brasileirão, on an average line of 33.21, and prices aren't in that number. Today's line, every book's price and the hit rate against that line are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Results use 137 player games with a posted main line in 329 Brasileirão matches in the 2026 season, Jan 28, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026. The line is the most recent main line in PickFinder's archive before the match, stamped onto the player's row, not any one book's closing number, and alternate lines are left out. Over means strictly over the line and a result on the line is a push. Prices aren't included. Fantasy score lines are PrizePicks' and use its scoring. Markets need 25 or more lines, single lines 15. Minutes tables cover forwards and midfielders; early exits include substitutions, injuries and red cards, and players need 13 or more starts and at least one posted line. Start rate counts starts for the player's current team out of its matches since the player first appeared for it. Only matches with full Opta coverage in OpticOdds are counted, so a match with missing stats never reads as zeros.

Prop results and minutes FAQ

Which Brasileirão prop goes over most often?

Fantasy Score, at 55% of 97 posted lines. Lowest is Pass Attempts, at 51% of 112.

Do soccer props go over or under more?

In the Brasileirão, 2 of 4 markets we track went over at least half the time. Prices aren't included, so a market going under more often isn't automatically a good bet.

Which Brasileirão attackers get subbed early the most?

Juan Portilla (Club Athletico Paranaense) came off before minute 70 in 77% of 13 starts, followed by Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte (Clube Atlético Mineiro) at 50%.

Which Brasileirão attackers have the safest minutes?

Kevin Viveros (Club Athletico Paranaense) played 85 or more in 90% of 31 starts, with a 94% start rate.

How often do starters come off before 70 minutes?

30% of forward and midfielder starts in the Brasileirão. Those off before minute 60 cleared 1.5 shots 16% of the time.

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