Prop results and minutes
Serie A prop results and minutes security
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Shots Attempted is the most posted prop we track in Serie A, and it went over the main line 42% of 1,601 times. Goalie Saves went over the most, at 52%, and Goals the least, at 31%.
A line on a player who ends up on the bench rarely clears: Shots Attempted went over 46% for starters and 16% for bench players.
31% of forward and midfielder starts end before minute 70. Those who played 90 cleared 1.5 shots 46% of the time, and those off between minutes 60 and 74 cleared it 44%. Based on 98 Serie A matches in the 2026-27 season, Aug 22, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026.
How often Serie A props went over the posted line
Each row is a player game with a main line on the board. Prices aren't in these numbers, so this is how often it went over, not whether betting it made money.
Serie A over rate at each line
Lines with 15 or more posted games. Whole-number lines can push, which is why the over rate there looks low.
What minutes do to a Serie A shots prop
Forwards and midfielders only. 31% of their starts ended before minute 70, and 46% went 85 minutes or more. This describes what happened: some of these players came off because the game was already going badly.
Serie A attackers most often off before minute 70
Forwards and midfielders with at least one posted line and 4 or more starts. Includes substitutions, injuries and red cards.
 Rodrigo Mora de CarvalhoAS Roma, M | 4 | 40% | 58 | 0% | 100% | 4.70 |
 Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta Bergamasca Calcio, F | 4 | 44% | 60 | 0% | 100% | 2.24 |
 Jacopo FazziniCagliari Calcio, M | 5 | 50% | 61 | 0% | 100% | 1.48 |
 Stephan El ShaarawyGenoa CFC, F | 4 | 57% | 61 | 0% | 100% | 2.95 |
 Martin BaturinaCalcio Como 1907, M | 7 | 70% | 57 | 0% | 86% | 3.84 |
 Tommaso BaldanziGenoa CFC, M | 6 | 60% | 66 | 0% | 83% | 2.98 |
 Nicolás GonzálezJuventus, M | 5 | 56% | 64 | 0% | 80% | 1.96 |
 Vasilije AdzicUS Sassuolo Calcio, M | 5 | 56% | 66 | 20% | 80% | 2.45 |
 Jakub PiotrowskiUdinese Calcio, M | 4 | 40% | 48 | 0% | 75% | 1.88 |
 Kristian ThorstvedtUS Sassuolo Calcio, M | 4 | 44% | 56 | 0% | 75% | 2.41 |
 Unai GómezUdinese Calcio, M | 4 | 40% | 60 | 0% | 75% | 1.89 |
 Ivan IlicUS Lecce, M | 4 | 44% | 60 | 0% | 75% | 0.76 |
 Matteo CancellieriSS Lazio, F | 4 | 40% | 64 | 25% | 75% | 1.76 |
 Christian OrdóñezParma Calcio 1913, M | 4 | 44% | 65 | 25% | 75% | 1.04 |
 Matteo PolitanoSSC Napoli, F | 8 | 80% | 66 | 13% | 75% | 1.20 |
 Donyell MalenAS Roma, F | 8 | 80% | 68 | 13% | 75% | 5.16 |
 Roberto PiccoliBologna FC 1909, F | 7 | 70% | 64 | 29% | 71% | 2.00 |
 Francesco Pio EspositoFC Internazionale Milano, F | 7 | 70% | 68 | 29% | 71% | 3.23 |
 Kerim-Sam AlajbegovicJuventus, F | 6 | 67% | 60 | 17% | 67% | 4.53 |
 Daniel MaldiniCagliari Calcio, F | 9 | 90% | 71 | 11% | 67% | 1.70 |
 Gvidas GineitisTorino, M | 5 | 50% | 63 | 20% | 60% | 0.57 |
 Hakan ÇalhanogluFC Internazionale Milano, M | 5 | 50% | 66 | 0% | 60% | 2.18 |
 Sebastiano EspositoUS Sassuolo Calcio, F | 5 | 83% | 66 | 0% | 60% | 1.36 |
 David RomeroParma Calcio 1913, F | 5 | 63% | 68 | 20% | 60% | 1.85 |
 Vincent SierroParma Calcio 1913, M | 5 | 83% | 68 | 20% | 60% | 0.79 |
Serie A attackers who stay on
Using prop results and minutes on a prop
Check the player will start
Off the bench, Serie A forwards and midfielders average 0.71 shots and clear 1.5 shots 16% of the time. Started and played 90, it's 1.71 shots and 46%. Confirm the lineup before anything else.
Look up the hook risk
Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (AS Roma) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 4 starts, averaging 58 minutes. Michel Adopo (Cagliari Calcio) went 85 or more in 100% of 10 starts. The same line means less for the first player.
Size up the minutes
A starter off between minutes 60 and 74 clears 1.5 shots 44% of the time, against 46% for a full 90. Some of that gap is game state, since players get pulled when things go badly, so treat it as a description rather than a rule.
Check today's line
Shots Attempted goes over 42% of the time in Serie A, on an average line of 1.28, and prices aren't in that number. Today's line, every book's price and the hit rate against that line are in PickFinder.
How this is counted
Results use 1,886 player games with a posted main line in 98 Serie A matches in the 2026-27 season, Aug 22, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The line is the most recent main line in PickFinder's archive before the match, stamped onto the player's row, not any one book's closing number, and alternate lines are left out. Over means strictly over the line and a result on the line is a push. Prices aren't included. Fantasy score lines are PrizePicks' and use its scoring. Markets need 25 or more lines, single lines 15. Minutes tables cover forwards and midfielders; early exits include substitutions, injuries and red cards, and players need 4 or more starts and at least one posted line. Start rate counts starts for the player's current team out of its matches since the player first appeared for it. Only matches with full Opta coverage in OpticOdds are counted, so a match with missing stats never reads as zeros.
Prop results and minutes FAQ
Which Serie A prop goes over most often?
Goalie Saves, at 52% of 180 posted lines. Lowest is Goals, at 31% of 181.
Do soccer props go over or under more?
In Serie A, 1 of 13 markets we track went over at least half the time. Prices aren't included, so a market going under more often isn't automatically a good bet.
Which Serie A attackers get subbed early the most?
Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (AS Roma) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 4 starts, followed by Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio) at 100%.
Which Serie A attackers have the safest minutes?
Michel Adopo (Cagliari Calcio) played 85 or more in 100% of 10 starts, with a 100% start rate.
How often do starters come off before 70 minutes?
31% of forward and midfielder starts in Serie A. Those off before minute 60 cleared 1.5 shots 24% of the time.
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