Prop results and minutes
Premier League prop results and minutes security
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Shots Attempted is the most posted prop we track in the Premier League, and it went over the main line 44% of 1,418 times. Pass Attempts went over the most, at 49%, and Goals + Assists the least, at 30%.
A line on a player who ends up on the bench rarely clears: Shots Attempted went over 47% for starters and 14% for bench players.
21% of forward and midfielder starts end before minute 70. Those who played 90 cleared 1.5 shots 50% of the time, and those off between minutes 60 and 74 cleared it 35%. Based on 89 Premier League matches in the 2026-27 season, Aug 21, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026.
How often Premier League props went over the posted line
Each row is a player game with a main line on the board. Prices aren't in these numbers, so this is how often it went over, not whether betting it made money.
Premier League over rate at each line
Lines with 15 or more posted games. Whole-number lines can push, which is why the over rate there looks low.
What minutes do to a Premier League shots prop
Forwards and midfielders only. 21% of their starts ended before minute 70, and 51% went 85 minutes or more. This describes what happened: some of these players came off because the game was already going badly.
Premier League attackers most often off before minute 70
Forwards and midfielders with at least one posted line and 4 or more starts. Includes substitutions, injuries and red cards.
Premier League attackers who stay on
Using prop results and minutes on a prop
Check the player will start
Off the bench, Premier League forwards and midfielders average 0.48 shots and clear 1.5 shots 9% of the time. Started and played 90, it's 1.73 shots and 50%. Confirm the lineup before anything else.
Look up the hook risk
Yehor Yarmoliuk (Brentford) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 4 starts, averaging 60 minutes. Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United) went 85 or more in 100% of 9 starts. The same line means less for the first player.
Size up the minutes
A starter off between minutes 60 and 74 clears 1.5 shots 35% of the time, against 50% for a full 90. Some of that gap is game state, since players get pulled when things go badly, so treat it as a description rather than a rule.
Check today's line
Shots Attempted goes over 44% of the time in the Premier League, on an average line of 1.24, and prices aren't in that number. Today's line, every book's price and the hit rate against that line are in PickFinder.
How this is counted
Results use 1,706 player games with a posted main line in 89 Premier League matches in the 2026-27 season, Aug 21, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The line is the most recent main line in PickFinder's archive before the match, stamped onto the player's row, not any one book's closing number, and alternate lines are left out. Over means strictly over the line and a result on the line is a push. Prices aren't included. Fantasy score lines are PrizePicks' and use its scoring. Markets need 25 or more lines, single lines 15. Minutes tables cover forwards and midfielders; early exits include substitutions, injuries and red cards, and players need 4 or more starts and at least one posted line. Start rate counts starts for the player's current team out of its matches since the player first appeared for it. Only matches with full Opta coverage in OpticOdds are counted, so a match with missing stats never reads as zeros.
Prop results and minutes FAQ
Which Premier League prop goes over most often?
Pass Attempts, at 49% of 562 posted lines. Lowest is Goals + Assists, at 30% of 401.
Do soccer props go over or under more?
In the Premier League, 0 of 13 markets we track went over at least half the time. Prices aren't included, so a market going under more often isn't automatically a good bet.
Which Premier League attackers get subbed early the most?
Yehor Yarmoliuk (Brentford) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 4 starts, followed by Ephron Mason-Clark (Coventry City) at 80%.
Which Premier League attackers have the safest minutes?
Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United) played 85 or more in 100% of 9 starts, with a 100% start rate.
How often do starters come off before 70 minutes?
21% of forward and midfielder starts in the Premier League. Those off before minute 60 cleared 1.5 shots 17% of the time.
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