Europa League prop results and minutes security

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Pass Attempts is the most posted prop we track in the Europa League, and it went over the main line 38% of 48 times. Fantasy Score went over the most, at 46%, and Shots Attempted the least, at 24%.

28% of forward and midfielder starts end before minute 70. Those who played 90 cleared 1.5 shots 43% of the time, and those off between minutes 60 and 74 cleared it 38%. Based on 174 Europa League matches in the last 300 days, Jan 22, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026.

How often Europa League props went over the posted line

Each row is a player game with a main line on the board. Prices aren't in these numbers, so this is how often it went over, not whether betting it made money.

Europa League over rate by prop market
Pass Attempts4836.8338%0%42%43-5
Fantasy Score469.8946%2%49%43-3
Goalie Saves343.0441%9%41%34-0
Shots Attempted292.3124%7%33%21-8

Europa League over rate at each line

Lines with 15 or more posted games. Whole-number lines can push, which is why the over rate there looks low.

Europa League over rate by market and line
MarketLineLinesOverPush
Shots On Target0.51741%0%

What minutes do to a Europa League shots prop

Forwards and midfielders only. 28% of their starts ended before minute 70, and 47% went 85 minutes or more. This describes what happened: some of these players came off because the game was already going badly.

Europa League shot results by minutes played
Off the bench124437%210.5914%18%-
Started, off before 602267%470.7218%23%-
Started, off 60 to 7455517%671.3438%37%-
Started, off 75 to 8947914%821.6845%43%-
Started, played 9083625%911.6043%39%-

Europa League attackers most often off before minute 70

Forwards and midfielders and 5 or more starts. Includes substitutions, injuries and red cards.

Europa League players most often off before minute 70
Borja SainzFC Porto, F583%550%100%2.30
Iago AspasReal Club Celta de Vigo, F655%580%100%2.07
Yorbe VertessenFC Salzburg, F667%630%83%2.61
Borja IglesiasReal Club Celta de Vigo, F764%600%71%1.94
Williot SwedbergReal Club Celta de Vigo, M764%620%71%1.67
Sota KitanoFC Salzburg, F667%6617%67%2.27
Philip BillingFC Midtjylland, M583%6740%60%1.35
Ngal'ayel MukauLille OSC, M583%7240%60%1.26
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzNottingham Forest, F556%7540%60%4.08
Valdemar ByskovAlkmaar Zaanstreek, M767%6329%57%2.04
Václav CernyBeşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü, M778%6914%57%3.17
James McAteeNottingham Forest, M660%6617%50%2.27
Federico BernardeschiBologna FC 1909, F686%6833%50%2.85
Omari HutchinsonAC Milan, F10100%6950%50%2.47
Lukás AmbrosRSC Anderlecht, M6100%7017%50%0.43
Denis VišinskýFC Viktoria Plzeň, M675%7217%50%2.08
Heorhii SudakovSL Benfica, M889%7425%50%2.28
Darius OlaruRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise, M5100%6820%40%1.86
Arbër HoxhaGNK Dinamo Zagreb, F571%7640%40%1.42
Rodrigo ZalazarSporting Braga, M571%7640%40%2.37
Douglas Luiz Soares de PauloJuventus, M567%7740%40%0.93
Dan NdoyeNottingham Forest, F550%7960%40%1.59
Enzo BarrenecheaSL Benfica, M556%8060%40%0.45
Denil CastilloFC Midtjylland, M583%8360%40%1.09
Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg, M889%7113%38%1.90

Europa League attackers who stay on

Europa League players with the safest minutes
Rade KrunicFK Crvena zvezda Beograd, M5100%102100%0%0.35
Bryan HeynenKRC Genk, M6100%95100%0%1.11
Josip MisicGNK Dinamo Zagreb, M7100%94100%0%0.41
Callum McGregorCeltic, M7100%90100%0%0.14
Abubakr BarryFC Salzburg, M7100%90100%0%1.14
Victor Bak JensenFC Midtjylland, M583%96100%0%0.56
Pablo RosarioFC Porto, M583%90100%0%0.40
Cebrails MakreckisFerencvárosi TC, M635%90100%0%0.17
Carlos Eduardo Lopes CruzFerencvárosi TC, M1482%8993%0%0.51
Marius CorbuFerencvárosi TC, M1091%8990%0%2.02
Maximilian EggesteinSC Freiburg, M889%8888%0%0.77
Cheick SouaréFC Viktoria Plzeň, M788%9286%0%1.11
Jean-Baptiste GorbySporting Braga, M788%8686%14%1.04
Salih ÖzcanBeşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü, M778%8786%0%0.88
Attila OsváthFerencvárosi TC, M764%8986%0%0.72
Daan HeymansKRC Genk, M6100%9483%0%3.36
Valmir MatoshiSK Sturm Graz, M6100%8883%0%1.36
Youri TielemansAston Villa, M667%8783%0%0.86
Anastasios BakasetasPanathinaikos, M583%8380%20%1.30
Elliot AndersonNottingham Forest, M550%8580%20%1.90
Kristoffer ZachariassenFerencvárosi TC, M1482%8779%0%2.14
Remo FreulerOlympiakos CFP, M967%8678%11%1.05
Amar MemićFC Viktoria Plzeň, M8100%9375%13%1.70
Igor MatanovicSC Freiburg, F889%8375%13%1.89
Ilaix MoribaReal Club Celta de Vigo, M880%7975%25%0.14

Using prop results and minutes on a prop

  1. Check the player will start

    Off the bench, Europa League forwards and midfielders average 0.59 shots and clear 1.5 shots 14% of the time. Started and played 90, it's 1.60 shots and 43%. Confirm the lineup before anything else.

  2. Look up the hook risk

    Borja Sainz (FC Porto) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 5 starts, averaging 55 minutes. Rade Krunic (FK Crvena zvezda Beograd) went 85 or more in 100% of 5 starts. The same line means less for the first player.

  3. Size up the minutes

    A starter off between minutes 60 and 74 clears 1.5 shots 38% of the time, against 43% for a full 90. Some of that gap is game state, since players get pulled when things go badly, so treat it as a description rather than a rule.

  4. Check today's line

    Pass Attempts goes over 38% of the time in the Europa League, on an average line of 36.83, and prices aren't in that number. Today's line, every book's price and the hit rate against that line are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Results use 102 player games with a posted main line in 174 Europa League matches in the last 300 days, Jan 22, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. The line is the most recent main line in PickFinder's archive before the match, stamped onto the player's row, not any one book's closing number, and alternate lines are left out. Over means strictly over the line and a result on the line is a push. Prices aren't included. Fantasy score lines are PrizePicks' and use its scoring. Markets need 25 or more lines, single lines 15. Minutes tables cover forwards and midfielders; early exits include substitutions, injuries and red cards, and players need 5 or more starts. Start rate counts starts for the player's current team out of its matches since the player first appeared for it. Only matches with full Opta coverage in OpticOdds are counted, so a match with missing stats never reads as zeros.

Prop results and minutes FAQ

Which Europa League prop goes over most often?

Fantasy Score, at 46% of 46 posted lines. Lowest is Shots Attempted, at 24% of 29.

Do soccer props go over or under more?

In the Europa League, 0 of 4 markets we track went over at least half the time. Prices aren't included, so a market going under more often isn't automatically a good bet.

Which Europa League attackers get subbed early the most?

Borja Sainz (FC Porto) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 5 starts, followed by Iago Aspas (Real Club Celta de Vigo) at 100%.

Which Europa League attackers have the safest minutes?

Rade Krunic (FK Crvena zvezda Beograd) played 85 or more in 100% of 5 starts, with a 100% start rate.

How often do starters come off before 70 minutes?

28% of forward and midfielder starts in the Europa League. Those off before minute 60 cleared 1.5 shots 18% of the time.

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