La Liga prop results and minutes security

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Shots Attempted is the most posted prop we track in La Liga, and it went over the main line 38% of 1,317 times. Goalie Saves went over the most, at 46%, and Goals the least, at 27%.

A line on a player who ends up on the bench rarely clears: Shots Attempted went over 41% for starters and 20% for bench players.

32% of forward and midfielder starts end before minute 70. Those who played 90 cleared 1.5 shots 46% of the time, and those off between minutes 60 and 74 cleared it 33%. Based on 108 La Liga matches in the 2026-27 season, Aug 15, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026.

How often La Liga props went over the posted line

Each row is a player game with a main line on the board. Prices aren't in these numbers, so this is how often it went over, not whether betting it made money.

La Liga over rate by prop market
Shots Attempted13171.4638%1%41%110520%212
Shots On Target8150.6437%0%41%66921%146
Fantasy Score49711.0244%0%48%4605%37
Pass Attempts47837.0044%0%48%4410%37
Goals + Assists3930.5135%0%39%31716%76
Goals2490.5227%0%31%2059%44
Goalie Saves1892.9246%13%46%189-0
Attempted Dribbles1103.0242%5%45%10010%10
Clearances915.2132%3%33%87-4
Shots Assisted771.3838%3%40%6720%10
Fouls761.0536%0%43%630%13
Assists550.5027%0%30%47-8
Crosses373.5335%3%43%28-9
Tackles372.0430%14%30%33-4

La Liga over rate at each line

Lines with 15 or more posted games. Whole-number lines can push, which is why the over rate there looks low.

La Liga over rate by market and line
Shots Attempted0.549840%0%
Shots Attempted1.548436%0%
Shots Attempted2.01828%17%
Shots Attempted2.523138%0%
Shots Attempted3.54933%0%
Shots On Target0.571338%0%
Shots On Target1.58931%0%
Goalie Saves2.02722%41%
Goalie Saves2.55860%0%
Goalie Saves3.04043%25%
Goalie Saves3.53551%0%
Tackles2.01729%29%
Fouls0.53459%0%
Fouls1.54217%0%

What minutes do to a La Liga shots prop

Forwards and midfielders only. 32% of their starts ended before minute 70, and 45% went 85 minutes or more. This describes what happened: some of these players came off because the game was already going badly.

La Liga shot results by minutes played
Off the bench78138%220.6114%18%20% of 182
Started, off before 601608%500.7319%17%23% of 104
Started, off 60 to 7435817%661.3033%38%36% of 229
Started, off 75 to 8929014%821.7047%40%49% of 194
Started, played 9048523%901.6746%40%50% of 311

La Liga attackers most often off before minute 70

Forwards and midfielders with at least one posted line and 4 or more starts. Includes substitutions, injuries and red cards.

La Liga players most often off before minute 70
Williot SwedbergReal Club Celta de Vigo, M545%590%100%0.92
Francisco Román Alarcón SuárezReal Betis Balompié, M764%630%86%3.28
Hugo GonzálezReal Club Celta de Vigo, F667%560%83%3.21
Joaquín MuñozMálaga, F655%650%83%0.92
Ilias AkhomachVillarreal, F545%670%80%2.40
Jonathan DubasinCA Osasuna, F440%640%75%1.76
Jonathan DavidClub Atlético de Madrid, F457%6625%75%4.08
Mariano DíazDeportivo Alavés, F436%670%75%1.34
Ryunosuke SatoValencia, M436%6725%75%1.67
Óscar ValentínRayo Vallecano, M444%6825%75%0.00
Ayoze PérezVillarreal, F873%6913%75%2.62
Pablo DuránReal Club Celta de Vigo, F436%690%75%0.98
Íñigo Ruíz de GalarretaAthletic Club Bilbao, M770%6314%71%1.43
Marc AguadoElche, M655%6333%67%0.72
Ademola LookmanClub Atlético de Madrid, F982%6411%67%2.20
Ander BarrenetxeaReal Sociedad de Fútbol, F655%6717%67%2.01
Rodrigo RiquelmeReal Betis Balompié, M655%670%67%2.03
Kang-In LeeClub Atlético de Madrid, M982%7022%67%3.42
Iñaki Williams ArthuerAthletic Club Bilbao, M990%7022%67%3.14
Toni MartínezDeportivo Alavés, F655%7133%67%2.95
Rubén GarcíaCA Osasuna, M880%6713%63%1.52
Santi ComesañaVillarreal, M873%6838%63%0.33
Hugo DuroValencia, F545%6920%60%2.35
Denis SuárezDeportivo Alavés, M545%7020%60%0.26
Jorge de FrutosRayo Vallecano, F778%6929%57%0.93

La Liga attackers who stay on

La Liga players with the safest minutes
Lucien AgouméSevilla, M10100%90100%0%0.70
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid, F11100%90100%0%5.30
Pathé CissRayo Vallecano, M889%90100%0%0.50
Nemanja GudeljGetafe, M889%90100%0%1.13
Carlos Ruiz RubioMálaga, F873%90100%0%2.63
Alex BerenguerAthletic Club Bilbao, F660%90100%0%2.67
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangRC Deportivo de La Coruña, F660%89100%0%2.36
Jon OlasagastiLevante UD, M1091%8690%10%1.35
Pablo IbáñezDeportivo Alavés, M1091%8590%10%1.38
Ante BudimirCA Osasuna, F880%8988%0%2.92
Lorenzo AmatucciRC Deportivo de La Coruña, M770%8986%0%0.14
Enes ÜnalGetafe, F764%8886%0%1.74
Javier Morcillo RodrigálvarezElche, M764%8886%0%0.44
Aurélien TchouaméniReal Madrid, M686%8683%0%1.04
Oihan SancetAthletic Club Bilbao, M660%8683%17%2.97
Yan DiomandeReal Madrid, F655%8583%0%2.11
José Luis García VayáValencia, M11100%8482%18%0.29
David LarrubiaMálaga, F1091%8580%20%1.49
Sergio GómezReal Sociedad de Fútbol, F982%8678%11%0.58
Arnaut DanjumaValencia, F982%8578%11%1.88
Carlos SolerReal Sociedad de Fútbol, M873%8675%13%1.57
Marc RocaReal Betis Balompié, M873%8675%13%0.52
Giuliano SimeoneClub Atlético de Madrid, F873%8475%13%1.74
Guido RodríguezValencia, M873%8475%13%0.27
Lucas TorróCA Osasuna, M440%8775%0%0.77

Using prop results and minutes on a prop

  1. Check the player will start

    Off the bench, La Liga forwards and midfielders average 0.61 shots and clear 1.5 shots 14% of the time. Started and played 90, it's 1.67 shots and 46%. Confirm the lineup before anything else.

  2. Look up the hook risk

    Williot Swedberg (Real Club Celta de Vigo) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 5 starts, averaging 59 minutes. Lucien Agoumé (Sevilla) went 85 or more in 100% of 10 starts. The same line means less for the first player.

  3. Size up the minutes

    A starter off between minutes 60 and 74 clears 1.5 shots 33% of the time, against 46% for a full 90. Some of that gap is game state, since players get pulled when things go badly, so treat it as a description rather than a rule.

  4. Check today's line

    Shots Attempted goes over 38% of the time in La Liga, on an average line of 1.46, and prices aren't in that number. Today's line, every book's price and the hit rate against that line are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Results use 1,747 player games with a posted main line in 108 La Liga matches in the 2026-27 season, Aug 15, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The line is the most recent main line in PickFinder's archive before the match, stamped onto the player's row, not any one book's closing number, and alternate lines are left out. Over means strictly over the line and a result on the line is a push. Prices aren't included. Fantasy score lines are PrizePicks' and use its scoring. Markets need 25 or more lines, single lines 15. Minutes tables cover forwards and midfielders; early exits include substitutions, injuries and red cards, and players need 4 or more starts and at least one posted line. Start rate counts starts for the player's current team out of its matches since the player first appeared for it. Only matches with full Opta coverage in OpticOdds are counted, so a match with missing stats never reads as zeros.

Prop results and minutes FAQ

Which La Liga prop goes over most often?

Goalie Saves, at 46% of 189 posted lines. Lowest is Goals, at 27% of 249.

Do soccer props go over or under more?

In La Liga, 0 of 14 markets we track went over at least half the time. Prices aren't included, so a market going under more often isn't automatically a good bet.

Which La Liga attackers get subbed early the most?

Williot Swedberg (Real Club Celta de Vigo) came off before minute 70 in 100% of 5 starts, followed by Francisco Román Alarcón Suárez (Real Betis Balompié) at 86%.

Which La Liga attackers have the safest minutes?

Lucien Agoumé (Sevilla) played 85 or more in 100% of 10 starts, with a 100% start rate.

How often do starters come off before 70 minutes?

32% of forward and midfielder starts in La Liga. Those off before minute 60 cleared 1.5 shots 19% of the time.

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