Serve vs return map
ATP hard hold and break percentage: the serve vs return map
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Jannik Sinner has the best combined hold and break percentage on ATP hard courts over the last 52 weeks: 94.3% of service games held and 26.3% of return games broken. No one holds more, and Dalibor Svrcina breaks the most at 32.8%. The average is 80.6% hold and 19.5% break over 2,110 matches.
- ATP hard hold %
- 80.6%
- ATP hard break %
- 19.5%
- Best hold + break: Jannik Sinner
- 120.6
- Players with 15+ matches
- 118
Tour level only: ATP hard events, the Grand Slams and the Finals. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own view, because mixing them would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Minimum 15 finished matches in the last 52 weeks.
Who sits where
Complete (22)
Above average on both serve and return.
- Jannik Sinner94 / 26
- Carlos Alcaraz89 / 29
- Daniil Medvedev87 / 30
- Arthur Gea83 / 29
- Sebastian Korda87 / 23
Big server (35)
Holds above average, breaks below it.
- Alexander Zverev92 / 19
- Hubert Hurkacz90 / 15
- Taylor Fritz89 / 17
- Brandon Nakashima89 / 17
- Ben Shelton88 / 18
Returner (39)
Breaks above average, holds below it.
- Dalibor Svrcina67 / 33
- Rafael Jodar81 / 27
- Ignacio Buse75 / 27
- Lorenzo Musetti81 / 27
- Michael Zheng79 / 27
Grinder (22)
Below average on both.
- Daniel Altmaier77 / 11
- Valentin Royer75 / 15
- Mariano Navone77 / 15
- Tristan Schoolkate81 / 13
- Hamad Medjedovic79 / 15
ATP hard hold and break, sorted by hold + break
Using serve vs return map on a prop
Find both players
Say Alexander Zverev (91.6% hold, 19.2% break) meets Dalibor Svrcina (67.2% hold, 32.8% break). One is a big server, the other a returner.
Compare the return with the average
Dalibor Svrcina breaks 13.3 points more often than the 19.5% average. Take that off Alexander Zverev's 91.6% hold and you get about 78.3%. A rough read, not a model.
Use it on a prop
Fewer holds for the server mean more break points and shorter service games, which matters for break points won, games won and aces. Check the ace matchups page for the ace side of the same pairing.
Then check the surface
Switch to a surface view. Hold and break rates move a lot between clay and grass, and the all-surface number can hide it. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.
How this is counted
Counts finished singles matches, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026, the same 52-week span the rankings use. Hold % is service games won divided by service games played. Break % is return games won divided by the opponent's service games, with tiebreaks left out of both, the same way the Game Lines cards count them. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour level means ATP events, the Grand Slams and the Finals, qualifying included. Challenger and WTA 125 matches are left out and have their own view, because they would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Team cups are left out too. A player needs 15+ matches to appear. Hard includes indoor hard. The dashed lines are the average of the players shown (81.3% hold, 19.9% break), and the four types are named from those lines.
Serve vs return map FAQ
Who has the highest hold percentage on ATP hard courts?
Jannik Sinner at 94.3% over 25 matches. The average is 80.6%.
Who breaks serve most often on ATP hard courts?
Dalibor Svrcina at 32.8% of return games over 27 matches. The average is 19.5%.
What does hold plus break mean?
Add a player's hold % and break %. Above 100 means winning more games than they lose. 65 of the 118 players here are above 100. Jannik Sinner is highest at 120.6, and Daniel Altmaier is lowest at 87.3.
What are complete players, big servers, returners and grinders?
The four corners of the chart, split at the average of the players shown (81.3% hold, 19.9% break). Complete players beat both, big servers beat only the hold number, returners beat only the break number, and grinders beat neither.
Are Challenger matches included?
No. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own views, so a player who plays down a level isn't flattered here.
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