Serve vs return map
WTA grass hold and break percentage: the serve vs return map
PickFinder Team•Updated:
Naomi Osaka has the best combined hold and break percentage on WTA grass over the last 52 weeks: 88% of service games held and 42.5% of return games broken. Madison Keys holds the most at 89.6%, and no one breaks more. The average is 69.6% hold and 30.6% break over 492 matches.
- WTA grass hold %
- 69.6%
- WTA grass break %
- 30.6%
- Best hold + break: Naomi Osaka
- 130.5
- Players with 8+ matches
- 30
Tour level only: WTA grass events, the Grand Slams and the Finals. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own view, because mixing them would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Minimum 8 finished matches in the last 52 weeks.
Who sits where
Complete (6)
Above average on both serve and return.
- Naomi Osaka88 / 43
- Marie Bouzkova80 / 41
- Robin Montgomery85 / 35
- Barbora Krejcikova79 / 39
- Jessica Pegula77 / 38
Big server (8)
Holds above average, breaks below it.
- Madison Keys90 / 33
- Diane Parry87 / 24
- Linda Noskova86 / 31
- Karolina Muchova84 / 29
- Daria Snigur81 / 34
Returner (11)
Breaks above average, holds below it.
- Anna Blinkova66 / 42
- Iva Jović70 / 42
- Ajla Tomljanovic68 / 42
- Donna Vekic72 / 39
- Catherine McNally73 / 38
Grinder (5)
Below average on both.
- Renata Zarazua60 / 21
- Shuai Zhang74 / 24
- Karolina Pliskova66 / 33
- Kimberly Birrell72 / 32
- Elise Mertens73 / 34
WTA grass hold and break, sorted by hold + break
Using serve vs return map on a prop
Find both players
Say Madison Keys (89.6% hold, 32.5% break) meets Anna Blinkova (65.8% hold, 42.4% break). One is a big server, the other a returner.
Compare the return with the average
Anna Blinkova breaks 11.8 points more often than the 30.6% average. Take that off Madison Keys's 89.6% hold and you get about 77.8%. A rough read, not a model.
Use it on a prop
Fewer holds for the server mean more break points and shorter service games, which matters for break points won, games won and aces. Check the ace matchups page for the ace side of the same pairing.
Then check the surface
Switch to a surface view. Hold and break rates move a lot between clay and grass, and the all-surface number can hide it. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.
How this is counted
Counts finished singles matches, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026, the same 52-week span the rankings use. Hold % is service games won divided by service games played. Break % is return games won divided by the opponent's service games, with tiebreaks left out of both, the same way the Game Lines cards count them. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour level means WTA events, the Grand Slams and the Finals, qualifying included. Challenger and WTA 125 matches are left out and have their own view, because they would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Team cups are left out too. A player needs 8+ matches to appear. Hard includes indoor hard. The dashed lines are the average of the players shown (74.8% hold, 34.5% break), and the four types are named from those lines.
Serve vs return map FAQ
Who has the highest hold percentage on WTA grass?
Madison Keys at 89.6% over 11 matches. The average is 69.6%.
Who breaks serve most often on WTA grass?
Naomi Osaka at 42.5% of return games over 9 matches. The average is 30.6%.
What does hold plus break mean?
Add a player's hold % and break %. Above 100 means winning more games than they lose. 25 of the 30 players here are above 100. Naomi Osaka is highest at 130.5, and Renata Zarazua is lowest at 80.5.
What are complete players, big servers, returners and grinders?
The four corners of the chart, split at the average of the players shown (74.8% hold, 34.5% break). Complete players beat both, big servers beat only the hold number, returners beat only the break number, and grinders beat neither.
Are Challenger matches included?
No. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own views, so a player who plays down a level isn't flattered here.
What is the best tool for researching Tennis picks?
PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For tennis it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.
What is PickFinder?
PickFinder is a sports betting research tool for player props, +EV bets, arbitrage, middles and odds comparison. It covers 30+ leagues across 14 sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL, 20 soccer competitions, ATP and WTA tennis, and five esports, and compares 24 sportsbooks and DFS apps, with hit rates, matchups, injuries and line movement on one screen. Every plan includes its Discord, with over 50,000 members, an average of three slips posted a day, 24/7 support and a community free of spam. New members get a 3-day money-back guarantee. PickFinder is not a sportsbook and does not take bets.

