WTA grass hold and break percentage: the serve vs return map

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Naomi Osaka has the best combined hold and break percentage on WTA grass over the last 52 weeks: 88% of service games held and 42.5% of return games broken. Madison Keys holds the most at 89.6%, and no one breaks more. The average is 69.6% hold and 30.6% break over 492 matches.

WTA grass hold %
69.6%
WTA grass break %
30.6%
Best hold + break: Naomi Osaka
130.5
Players with 8+ matches
30
19%25%32%38%44%57%66%75%83%92%Big serversCompleteGrindersReturnersOsaka: 43%, 88%OsakaKeys: 33%, 90%KeysBouzkova: 41%, 80%BouzkovaRobin Montgomery: 35%, 85%Barbora Krejcikova: 39%, 79%Noskova: 31%, 86%NoskovaJessica Pegula: 38%, 77%Katie Volynets: 38%, 76%Daria Snigur: 34%, 81%Karolina Muchova: 29%, 84%Jović: 42%, 70%JovićCatherine McNally: 38%, 73%Donna Vekic: 39%, 72%Parry: 24%, 87%ParryTomljanovic: 42%, 68%TomljanovicElena-Gabriela Ruse: 31%, 79%Tatjana Maria: 35%, 75%Blinkova: 42%, 66%BlinkovaAlexandra Eala: 35%, 72%Elise Mertens: 34%, 73%Viktorija Golubic: 36%, 71%Ekaterina Alexandrova: 29%, 75%Emma Navarro: 28%, 76%Kimberly Birrell: 32%, 72%Zeynep Sonmez: 37%, 66%Antonia Ruzic: 38%, 62%Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: 37%, 63%Karolina Pliskova: 33%, 66%Zhang: 24%, 74%ZhangZarazua: 21%, 60%ZarazuaBreak % (return games won)Hold % (service games held)
WTA grass hold % against break %, last 52 weeks, 30 players. Dashed lines mark the average of the players shown: 74.8% hold and 34.5% break.

Tour level only: WTA grass events, the Grand Slams and the Finals. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own view, because mixing them would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Minimum 8 finished matches in the last 52 weeks.

Who sits where

Complete (6)

Above average on both serve and return.

Big server (8)

Holds above average, breaks below it.

Returner (11)

Breaks above average, holds below it.

Grinder (5)

Below average on both.

WTA grass hold and break, sorted by hold + break

WTA grass hold and break percentage by player, last 52 weeks
1Naomi OsakaWorld No. 16Complete88.0%42.5%130.56.798-1
2Madison KeysWorld No. 24Big server89.6%32.5%122.04.5119-2
3Marie BouzkovaWorld No. 23Complete79.6%41.1%120.81.9109-1
4Robin MontgomeryWorld No. 151Complete85.1%34.8%119.98.4109-1
5Barbora KrejcikovaWorld No. 48Complete78.8%38.7%117.54.997-2
6Linda NoskovaWorld No. 8Big server85.9%30.7%116.66.51312-1
7Jessica PegulaWorld No. 5Complete76.9%38.1%115.04.697-2
8Katie VolynetsWorld No. 78Complete76.3%38.4%114.72.497-2
9Daria SnigurWorld No. 42Big server80.5%34.0%114.51.696-3
10Karolina MuchovaWorld No. 7Big server84.1%29.2%113.35.31210-2
11Iva JovićWorld No. 13Returner69.9%42.0%111.91.886-2
12Catherine McNallyWorld No. 65Returner72.8%38.4%111.22.4106-4
13Donna VekicWorld No. 39Returner72.4%38.6%111.04.085-3
14Diane ParryWorld No. 34Big server86.6%24.4%111.05.885-3
15Ajla TomljanovicWorld No. 143Returner67.9%41.9%109.81.496-3
16Elena-Gabriela RuseWorld No. 60Big server78.6%31.0%109.64.9107-3
17Tatjana MariaWorld No. 66Returner74.6%34.9%109.55.5139-4
18Anna BlinkovaWorld No. 105Returner65.8%42.4%108.21.4106-4
19Alexandra EalaWorld No. 17Returner72.1%35.2%107.32.9117-4
20Elise MertensWorld No. 14Grinder73.3%33.7%107.04.1117-4
21Viktorija GolubicWorld No. 89Returner70.9%36.0%106.92.586-2
22Ekaterina AlexandrovaWorld No. 32Big server75.0%29.4%104.44.684-4
23Emma NavarroWorld No. 28Big server76.0%28.0%104.04.8128-4
24Kimberly BirrellWorld No. 46Grinder71.6%31.9%103.42.7105-5
25Zeynep SonmezWorld No. 67Returner66.4%36.8%103.20.7128-4
26Antonia RuzicWorld No. 81Returner61.7%37.5%99.21.795-4
27Jessica Bouzas ManeiroWorld No. 100Returner62.5%36.5%99.01.384-4
28Karolina PliskovaWorld No. 51Grinder66.3%32.6%98.93.585-3
29Shuai ZhangWorld No. 95Grinder73.9%24.4%98.32.295-4
30Renata ZarazuaWorld No. 97Grinder59.7%20.8%80.50.683-5

Using serve vs return map on a prop

  1. Find both players

    Say Madison Keys (89.6% hold, 32.5% break) meets Anna Blinkova (65.8% hold, 42.4% break). One is a big server, the other a returner.

  2. Compare the return with the average

    Anna Blinkova breaks 11.8 points more often than the 30.6% average. Take that off Madison Keys's 89.6% hold and you get about 77.8%. A rough read, not a model.

  3. Use it on a prop

    Fewer holds for the server mean more break points and shorter service games, which matters for break points won, games won and aces. Check the ace matchups page for the ace side of the same pairing.

  4. Then check the surface

    Switch to a surface view. Hold and break rates move a lot between clay and grass, and the all-surface number can hide it. Today's line and the hit rate against it are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Counts finished singles matches, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026, the same 52-week span the rankings use. Hold % is service games won divided by service games played. Break % is return games won divided by the opponent's service games, with tiebreaks left out of both, the same way the Game Lines cards count them. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour level means WTA events, the Grand Slams and the Finals, qualifying included. Challenger and WTA 125 matches are left out and have their own view, because they would flatter anyone who plays down a level. Team cups are left out too. A player needs 8+ matches to appear. Hard includes indoor hard. The dashed lines are the average of the players shown (74.8% hold, 34.5% break), and the four types are named from those lines.

Serve vs return map FAQ

Who has the highest hold percentage on WTA grass?

Madison Keys at 89.6% over 11 matches. The average is 69.6%.

Who breaks serve most often on WTA grass?

Naomi Osaka at 42.5% of return games over 9 matches. The average is 30.6%.

What does hold plus break mean?

Add a player's hold % and break %. Above 100 means winning more games than they lose. 25 of the 30 players here are above 100. Naomi Osaka is highest at 130.5, and Renata Zarazua is lowest at 80.5.

What are complete players, big servers, returners and grinders?

The four corners of the chart, split at the average of the players shown (74.8% hold, 34.5% break). Complete players beat both, big servers beat only the hold number, returners beat only the break number, and grinders beat neither.

Are Challenger matches included?

No. Challenger and WTA 125 matches have their own views, so a player who plays down a level isn't flattered here.

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