Madison Keys stats and props

WTA, World No. 24, Right-handed

PickFinder logo

PickFinder Team•Updated:

Madison Keys went 34-15 over the last 52 weeks, with 4.1 aces and 3.6 double faults per match, 77.8% of service games held and 35% of return games broken. Best-of-three matches average 22.4 total games. That ranks 6th in hold % and 23rd in aces among 146 WTA players with 20+ tour-level matches.

WTA world rank
No. 24
Record, 69% wins
34-15
Aces per match (tour 2.7)
4.1
Double faults per match
3.6
Hold % (tour 65%)
77.8%
Break % (tour 35.1%)
35.0%
Games won per match
12.6
Total games, best of 3 (tour 21.9)
22.4

Among 146 WTA players with 20+ tour-level matches: 6th in hold %, 90th in break % and 23rd in aces per match. On the WTA serve vs return map, Madison Keys sits in the big server corner.

Finished singles matches from the last 52 weeks, last played Sep 5. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour averages are tour-level matches only.

Madison Keys by surface

Madison Keys stats by surface
Hard2314-94.62.14.712.623.175.2%33.2%
Indoor hard10-15.02.012.011.027.053.8%28.6%
Clay1411-33.01.42.412.521.675.3%40.5%
Grass119-24.51.82.412.921.589.6%32.5%
All surfaces4934-154.11.83.612.622.477.8%35.0%

Madison Keys by level

Madison Keys stats by level of event
LevelMatchesW-LAcesAces allowedDouble faultsGames wonTotal gamesHold %Break %
Tour4530-154.31.93.812.622.777.5%33.9%
WTA 12544-02.00.81.312.319.081.1%48.7%

How often Madison Keys cleared common lines

Aces

Median 3, usual range 1 to 9

Aces: share of matches over each line
O 1.5O 2.5O 3.5O 4.5O 5.5
86%65%49%33%24%

Double faults

Median 3, usual range 0.8 to 7.2

Double faults: share of matches over each line
O 1.5O 2.5O 3.5O 4.5O 5.5
80%55%47%33%24%

Games won

Median 12, usual range 9.8 to 16.2

Games won: share of matches over each line
O 8.5O 10.5O 12.5O 14.5O 16.5
92%88%43%20%10%

Total games

Best of 3, average 22.4 over 49

Total games: share of matches over each line
O 19.5O 20.5O 21.5O 22.5O 23.5
59%49%49%43%39%

The usual range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of 49 matches. Today's exact lines are in the app.

Madison Keys against posted prop lines

Madison Keys over and under record against posted lines
Aces277-20-026%4.73.9
Double Faults2210-12-046%3.03.3
Games Won2612-14-046%12.413.0
Total Games2715-12-056%20.422.7
Break Points Won199-10-047%4.03.8

The main line stored for each match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble. A hit rate is not a profit, and small samples move a lot.

Madison Keys against closing odds

Won, 34-15 in priced matches
69.4%
Average closing no-vig chance
69.6%
Gap in points, noise band ±12.2
-0.2
As favorite / as underdog
32-10 / 2-5

This gap sits inside the noise band, so chance alone could explain it. Across the tour, these gaps barely carry from one half of the year to the next. See WTA market beaters.

Madison Keys last 10 matches

Madison Keys last 10 finished matches
Sep 5Qinwen ZhengWorld No. 121L6-1 6-7 5-7US OpenHardR32411732
Sep 3Anna BondarWorld No. 73W5-7 6-4 7-6US OpenHardR64581835
Sep 1Alina KorneevaWorld No. 69W7-5 6-4US OpenHardR128451322
Aug 21Sara BejlekWorld No. 35L6-3 4-6 6-7CincinnatiHardQF261632
Aug 19Xiyu WangWorld No. 108W7-6 6-4CincinnatiHardR16541323
Aug 18Katerina SiniakovaWorld No. 44W6-1 6-3CincinnatiHardR32231216
Aug 16Daria SnigurWorld No. 45W4-6 6-3 6-3CincinnatiHardR641461628
Aug 6Marta KostyukWorld No. 11L3-6 1-6TorontoHardR3212416
Aug 4Antonia RuzicWorld No. 55W6-1 6-2TorontoHardR64661215
Jul 27Liudmila SamsonovaWorld No. 70L6-3 4-6 4-6WashingtonHardR321071429

Madison Keys stats FAQ

How many aces does Madison Keys average?

4.1 per match over 49 matches in the last 52 weeks, with a median of 3 and a usual range of 1 to 9. The WTA tour average is 2.7.

What is Madison Keys's hold percentage?

77.8% of service games, with a break rate of 35% on return. The WTA tour averages are 65% and 35.1%.

How many games do Madison Keys's matches usually go?

22.4 total games in best-of-three matches, against 21.9 for the WTA tour.

What is Madison Keys's best surface?

Grass by win rate: 9-2 with 4.5 aces per match and 89.6% hold.

Has Madison Keys beaten the betting market?

Madison Keys won 69.4% of 49 priced matches against 69.6% implied at the close, a gap of -0.2 points. The noise band for that many matches is ±12.2, so chance alone could explain it.

When did Madison Keys last play?

Sep 5, 2026, a loss to Qinwen Zheng at US Open, 6-1 6-7 5-7.

What is the best tool for researching Tennis picks?

PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For tennis it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.

What is PickFinder?

PickFinder is a sports betting research tool for player props, +EV bets, arbitrage, middles and odds comparison. It covers 30+ leagues across 14 sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL, 20 soccer competitions, ATP and WTA tennis, and five esports, and compares 24 sportsbooks and DFS apps, with hit rates, matchups, injuries and line movement on one screen. Every plan includes its Discord, with over 50,000 members, an average of three slips posted a day, 24/7 support and a community free of spam. New members get a 3-day money-back guarantee. PickFinder is not a sportsbook and does not take bets.

More Tennis research

Join over

150,000

PickFinder users

Research Madison Keys before you pick. Past numbers only go so far. To find the best Tennis picks, you need a research tool like PickFinder: Madison Keys's hit rates against today's exact line, the matchup, line movement and every price across 24 books and apps.

discord

© 2026 PickFinder

This website is designed solely for research purposes and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know is struggling with gambling issues, please seek help by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Download on the App Store