MLS shots props: shot ladder by player

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

For MLS shots props, Lionel Messi (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) takes the most shots among starters: 6.22 per 90, clearing 1.5 shots in 100% of 28 starts and 2.5 in 93%. Lionel Messi has the best over 2.5 rate, at 93% of 28 starts.

A typical starting forward in MLS clears 0.5 shots 84% of the time, 1.5 shots 58% and 2.5 shots 34%. On target, it's 55% for 0.5 and 22% for 1.5.

Starts only, from 493 MLS matches in the 2026 season, Feb 21, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026.

Lionel Messi: most shots per 90
6.22
Lionel Messi: best over 2.5 shots rate
93%
Gabriel Fortes Chaves: best over 0.5 on target rate
93%
Typical starting forward over 1.5 shots
58%

MLS shots and shots on target, starts only

Each rung is the share of a player's starts that cleared the line. Bench minutes are left out. Showing the top 50 of 366 players with 13 or more starts, by shots per 90.

MLS player shot ladder
Lionel MessiClub Internacional de Fútbol Miami, F28896.222.52100%100%93%75%89%68%0%4 5 5 7 8
Gabriel Fortes ChavesLA Galaxy, M14874.372.1593%93%71%64%93%57%7%5 2 4 6 0
Milan IloskiPhiladelphia Union, F30844.251.6497%93%73%60%83%43%7%7 4 5 3 6
Evander da Silva FerreiraFC Cincinnati, M26853.941.5892%88%77%58%73%58%8%6 2 6 1 4
Heung-Min SonLos Angeles, F28863.821.0996%93%64%54%71%32%4%2 3 2 4 2
Louis MunteanuDC United, F16843.811.5494%88%63%50%75%38%13%9 0 1 4 4
Petar MusaFC Dallas, F23843.811.90100%91%74%52%87%52%13%4 3 3 3 1
Marcel HartelSt. Louis City SC, M15903.541.47100%93%80%60%80%53%0%2 4 4 4 1
Martín OjedaOrlando City SC, M23863.491.6391%87%57%48%83%48%9%6 2 2 2 5
Brian WhiteVancouver Whitecaps, F30833.491.7697%87%57%33%73%43%13%5 3 0 2 2
Philip ZinckernagelChicago Fire, F30823.401.1090%73%53%33%60%33%17%2 3 5 2 5
Kristoffer VeldePortland Timbers, F31873.391.06100%87%61%32%68%32%3%2 3 4 6 6
Hany MukhtarNashville SC, M29883.371.37100%83%62%45%72%38%0%2 3 2 6 5
Zavier GozoReal Salt Lake, M16893.371.2794%81%69%44%75%25%0%1 5 3 6 3
Saba LobjanidzeReal Salt Lake, M16743.341.6788%88%56%38%81%50%38%2 3 3 2 3
Cavan SullivanPhiladelphia Union, M20793.291.4790%80%60%35%75%35%20%5 4 3 2 3
Sam SurridgeNashville SC, F22893.281.7586%86%68%36%82%41%0%7 3 0 5 5
Preston JuddSan Jose Earthquakes, F25813.271.5596%76%64%36%80%48%16%3 4 4 1 1
Dénis BouangaLos Angeles, F30873.261.5897%80%53%33%73%40%7%3 4 1 8 1
Brandon VazquezAustin, F13853.251.30100%85%62%31%62%46%8%3 3 2 4 5
Kelvin YeboahMinnesota United, F29833.231.24100%86%55%28%79%28%10%1 6 5 6 4
Anders DreyerSan Diego, M29893.131.3997%79%52%41%76%45%0%0 5 3 2 2
Marcus IngvartsenSan Diego, F20803.131.1295%80%45%35%70%30%20%4 1 4 2 5
Kevin KelsyPortland Timbers, F15783.081.0087%80%47%33%73%13%20%1 3 2 5 5
Mateusz BoguszHouston Dynamo, M31883.051.1297%81%55%35%71%29%0%1 0 1 4 3
Robert LewandowskiChicago Fire, F13823.050.93100%69%69%15%62%23%23%7 3 1 1 3
Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos SantosHouston Dynamo, M29873.001.2893%83%55%31%76%34%3%1 2 4 3 6
Rafael Navarro LealSt. Louis City SC, F31883.001.4897%74%48%39%81%42%0%3 1 4 1 2
Antoine GriezmannOrlando City SC, F15892.911.69100%100%67%13%87%53%0%3 2 3 2 3
Jorge RuvalcabaNew York Red Bulls, F25772.901.0888%60%52%28%64%20%28%2 4 6 0 1
Emmanuel SabbiVancouver Whitecaps, M19612.881.0984%53%21%16%58%16%68%0 2 2 0 0
Miguel AlmirónAtlanta United, M24872.861.04100%75%63%21%71%21%0%3 3 3 3 3
Hennadiy SynchukClub de Foot Montréal, M17772.831.24100%59%35%24%71%29%35%2 3 2 2 1
Prince Osei OwusuClub de Foot Montréal, F25842.821.3392%76%52%28%76%36%12%1 4 5 4 3
Simon BecherSt. Louis City SC, F25802.791.0896%68%44%20%48%24%16%1 2 2 3 3
Josh SargentToronto, F24832.790.9088%58%46%38%50%17%8%5 4 4 0 3
Tom BarlowFC Cincinnati, F14712.731.4579%50%36%29%71%29%43%0 5 5 1 4
Myrto UzuniAustin, F22872.731.3795%68%45%27%73%32%9%5 5 3 1 3
Sergi SolansReal Salt Lake, F27782.721.2796%63%44%19%67%30%15%1 3 3 1 1
Nicolás Fernández MercauNew York City Football Club, M31892.701.53100%84%45%23%84%39%0%2 3 2 6 3
Jonathan BambaChicago Fire, F19752.701.0079%63%37%26%58%21%37%5 3 0 0 2
Diego LunaReal Salt Lake, M13822.700.9385%77%46%31%54%23%0%2 5 4 2 0
Tai BariboDC United, F23862.631.09100%61%39%22%74%22%13%1 7 1 3 6
Diego RossiColumbus Crew, M14882.630.7393%79%36%21%50%21%0%5 0 2 3 2
Eduard LöwenSan Jose Earthquakes, M17792.610.6094%71%29%24%41%12%35%2 1 1 2 4
Sebastian BerhalterVancouver Whitecaps, M13852.590.73100%77%46%23%62%8%8%2 4 4 3 3
Peyton MillerNew England Revolution, D22852.591.2091%77%41%27%64%27%9%1 2 3 1 5
Kévin DenkeyFC Cincinnati, F28852.571.2186%68%39%21%64%36%4%0 0 2 2 4
Timo WernerSan Jose Earthquakes, F14782.571.4979%57%36%21%64%43%29%3 0 1 0 2
Liel AbadaCharlotte, F18672.561.3583%72%22%11%61%33%61%2 0 1 1 3

What a typical MLS starter does

A player's rate near this baseline is just what the position gives you.

MLS starters by position
forwards22182.441.0184%58%34%18%55%22%
midfielders37821.280.4559%30%13%7%30%8%
defenders37400.560.1636%12%3%1%13%2%
2.43.44.55.56.526%34%43%52%60%Few shots, accurateVolume and accurateFew shots, wildVolume, wildLionel Messi: 6.2, 40%Lionel MessiGabriel Fortes Chaves: 4.4, 49%Gabriel Fortes ChavesMilan Iloski: 4.3, 39%Milan IloskiEvander da Silva Ferreira: 3.9, 40%Evander da Silva FerreiraHeung-Min Son: 3.8, 28%Heung-Min SonLouis Munteanu: 3.8, 40%Louis MunteanuPetar Musa: 3.8, 50%Marcel Hartel: 3.5, 42%Martín Ojeda: 3.5, 47%Brian White: 3.5, 51%Philip Zinckernagel: 3.4, 32%Kristoffer Velde: 3.4, 31%Hany Mukhtar: 3.4, 41%Zavier Gozo: 3.4, 38%Saba Lobjanidze: 3.3, 50%Cavan Sullivan: 3.3, 45%Sam Surridge: 3.3, 54%Preston Judd: 3.3, 47%Dénis Bouanga: 3.3, 48%Brandon Vazquez: 3.3, 40%Kelvin Yeboah: 3.2, 38%Anders Dreyer: 3.1, 44%Marcus Ingvartsen: 3.1, 36%Kevin Kelsy: 3.1, 33%Mateusz Bogusz: 3.0, 37%Robert Lewandowski: 3.0, 31%Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos: 3.0, 43%Rafael Navarro Leal: 3.0, 49%Antoine Griezmann: 2.9, 58%Jorge Ruvalcaba: 2.9, 37%Emmanuel Sabbi: 2.9, 38%Miguel Almirón: 2.9, 36%Hennadiy Synchuk: 2.8, 44%Prince Osei Owusu: 2.8, 47%Simon Becher: 2.8, 39%Josh Sargent: 2.8, 32%Tom Barlow: 2.7, 53%Myrto Uzuni: 2.7, 50%Sergi Solans: 2.7, 47%Nicolás Fernández Mercau: 2.7, 57%Shots per 90Share of shots on target
Volume against accuracy for the top 40 MLS shooters. A volume shooter low on this chart can clear a shots line and miss a shots on target line.

Using shot ladder on a prop

  1. Read the rung that matches the line

    Lionel Messi at over 2.5 shots reads 93%: 26 of 28 starts. At over 1.5 it's 100%, and at over 3.5 it's 75%.

  2. Compare with the baseline

    A typical MLS starting forward clears 2.5 shots 34% of the time, so 93% is above what the position gives by default.

  3. Check the minutes and the sample

    Lionel Messi averages 89 minutes per start and came off before minute 70 in 0% of starts. Last five starts, newest first: 4, 5, 5, 7, 8 shots. This table needs 13 or more starts, and 28 is what this rate rests on.

  4. Check today's line

    Today's MLS shots lines, PrizePicks included, and each player's hit rate against that exact line are in PickFinder.

How this is counted

Counts each player's starts in 493 MLS matches in the 2026 season, Feb 21, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026. Bench appearances are left out because a shots prop is usually a bet on a starter. A rung is the share of starts strictly over the line: over 1.5 means 2 or more. Shots are Opta's total scoring attempts, including blocked shots. Per 90 is total divided by minutes in those starts, times 90. 366 players with 13 or more starts qualify and the top 50 by shots per 90 are shown. Only matches with full Opta coverage in OpticOdds are counted, so a match with missing stats never reads as zeros.

Shot ladder FAQ

Who takes the most shots in MLS?

Lionel Messi (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami), at 6.22 shots per 90 in 28 starts.

Who has the most shots on target per 90?

Lionel Messi (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami), at 2.52 per 90 with 40% of shots on target.

Who clears 1.5 shots most reliably?

Lionel Messi (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami), in 100% of 28 starts.

Who clears 0.5 shots on target most reliably?

Gabriel Fortes Chaves (LA Galaxy), in 93% of 14 starts.

How often does a MLS forward clear 1.5 shots?

58% of starts, across 2218 forward starts. Midfielders and defenders are in the baseline table.

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