Luka Pavlovic stats and props

ATP, World No. 203, Right-handed

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Luka Pavlovic went 29-28 over the last 52 weeks, with 9.6 aces and 4 double faults per match, 80.8% of service games held and 18.7% of return games broken. Best-of-three matches average 23.6 total games.

ATP world rank
No. 203
Record, 51% wins
29-28
Aces per match (tour 6.5)
9.6
Double faults per match
4.0
Hold % (tour 79.5%)
80.8%
Break % (tour 20.6%)
18.7%
Games won per match
11.8
Total games, best of 3 (tour 23.6)
23.6

Finished singles matches from the last 52 weeks, last played Nov 2. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour averages are tour-level matches only.

Luka Pavlovic by surface

Luka Pavlovic stats by surface
Hard2514-119.83.63.912.023.284.5%19.2%
Indoor hard63-312.55.32.712.525.877.6%18.7%
Clay2411-138.82.84.411.623.877.3%18.9%
Grass21-18.06.04.510.020.090.0%10.0%
All surfaces5729-289.63.54.011.823.680.8%18.7%

Luka Pavlovic by level

Luka Pavlovic stats by level of event
LevelMatchesW-LAcesAces allowedDouble faultsGames wonTotal gamesHold %Break %
Tour157-811.34.83.613.126.481.9%17.3%
ATP Challenger4222-209.03.14.111.322.780.3%19.4%

How often Luka Pavlovic cleared common lines

Aces

Median 8, usual range 3.6 to 18

Aces: share of matches over each line
O 4.5O 6.5O 8.5O 10.5O 12.5
86%70%47%37%25%

Double faults

Median 4, usual range 1 to 7

Double faults: share of matches over each line
O 2.5O 3.5O 4.5O 5.5O 6.5
65%56%35%19%12%

Games won

Median 12, usual range 7 to 16

Games won: share of matches over each line
O 8.5O 10.5O 12.5O 14.5O 16.5
77%68%46%23%9%

Total games

Best of 3, average 23.6 over 56

Total games: share of matches over each line
O 19.5O 20.5O 21.5O 22.5O 23.5
71%64%54%45%43%

The usual range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of 57 matches. Aces, double faults and games won count every match, best of five included. Today's exact lines are in the app.

Luka Pavlovic against posted prop lines

Luka Pavlovic over and under record against posted lines
PropLinesO-U-POver %Avg lineAvg result
Games Won2213-9-059%11.912.6
Total Games2815-13-054%22.724.4

The main line stored for each match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble. A hit rate is not a profit, and small samples move a lot.

Luka Pavlovic against closing odds

Won, 29-28 in priced matches
50.9%
Average closing no-vig chance
46.4%
Gap in points, noise band ±11.9
+4.5
As favorite / as underdog
14-8 / 15-20

This gap sits inside the noise band, so chance alone could explain it. Across the tour, these gaps barely carry from one half of the year to the next. See ATP market beaters.

Luka Pavlovic last 10 matches

Luka Pavlovic last 10 finished matches
Nov 2Alexander ShevchenkoWorld No. 107W6-3 4-6 6-4Bratislava IIIndoor hardR321131629
Oct 17Ilia SimakinWorld No. 154L3-6 6-3 6-7AlmatyIndoor hardQ11611531
Oct 15Mattia BellucciWorld No. 86L4-6 4-6JinanHardR1675820
Oct 14Tristan SchoolkateWorld No. 155W7-5 6-4JinanHardR32931322
Oct 12Kangyuan ShiW6-1 6-1JinanHardQ final201214
Oct 11Thomas FancuttW7-5 6-3JinanHardQ1411321
Oct 5Ilia SimakinWorld No. 152L6-4 4-6 1-6ShanghaiHardQ1921127
Oct 1Lloyd HarrisWorld No. 125L2-6 3-6JingshanHardR1635517
Sep 29Akira SantillanWorld No. 317W6-2 6-4JingshanHardR321011218
Sep 22Alexandre MullerWorld No. 135L4-6 7-6 3-6ChengduHardQ11441432

Luka Pavlovic stats FAQ

How many aces does Luka Pavlovic average?

9.6 per match over 57 matches in the last 52 weeks, with a median of 8 and a usual range of 3.6 to 18. The ATP tour average is 6.5.

What is Luka Pavlovic's hold percentage?

80.8% of service games, with a break rate of 18.7% on return. The ATP tour averages are 79.5% and 20.6%.

How many games do Luka Pavlovic's matches usually go?

23.6 total games in best-of-three matches, against 23.6 for the ATP tour.

What is Luka Pavlovic's best surface?

Hard by win rate: 14-11 with 9.8 aces per match and 84.5% hold.

Has Luka Pavlovic beaten the betting market?

Luka Pavlovic won 50.9% of 57 priced matches against 46.4% implied at the close, a gap of +4.5 points. The noise band for that many matches is ±11.9, so chance alone could explain it.

When did Luka Pavlovic last play?

Nov 2, 2026, a win over Alexander Shevchenko at Bratislava II, 6-3 4-6 6-4.

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