Luca Nardi stats and props

ATP, World No. 239, Right-handed

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

Luca Nardi went 19-20 over the last 52 weeks, with 4 aces and 3 double faults per match, 75.5% of service games held and 26.7% of return games broken. Best-of-three matches average 23.9 total games.

ATP world rank
No. 239
Record, 49% wins
19-20
Aces per match (tour 6.5)
4.0
Double faults per match
3.0
Hold % (tour 79.5%)
75.5%
Break % (tour 20.6%)
26.7%
Games won per match
12.4
Total games, best of 3 (tour 23.6)
23.9

Finished singles matches from the last 52 weeks, last played Oct 17. Retired matches and walkovers are left out. Tour averages are tour-level matches only.

Luca Nardi by surface

Luca Nardi stats by surface
Hard178-94.54.22.912.624.674.9%23.9%
Indoor hard85-34.46.62.011.921.184.1%29.8%
Clay83-51.81.34.112.325.667.3%29.3%
Grass63-35.04.53.212.323.779.4%27.8%
All surfaces3919-204.04.23.012.423.975.5%26.7%

Luca Nardi by level

Luca Nardi stats by level of event
LevelMatchesW-LAcesAces allowedDouble faultsGames wonTotal gamesHold %Break %
Tour134-95.45.23.012.524.975.3%20.5%
ATP Challenger2615-113.33.63.012.323.575.7%30.1%

How often Luca Nardi cleared common lines

Aces

Median 3, usual range 0 to 8

Aces: share of matches over each line
O 1.5O 2.5O 3.5O 4.5O 5.5
74%59%49%44%36%

Double faults

Median 3, usual range 0 to 6.2

Double faults: share of matches over each line
O 1.5O 2.5O 3.5O 4.5O 5.5
67%51%41%28%18%

Games won

Median 12, usual range 8.8 to 16.2

Games won: share of matches over each line
O 8.5O 10.5O 12.5O 14.5O 16.5
90%79%36%26%10%

Total games

Best of 3, average 23.9 over 38

Total games: share of matches over each line
O 19.5O 20.5O 21.5O 22.5O 23.5
74%63%58%50%45%

The usual range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of 39 matches. Aces, double faults and games won count every match, best of five included. Today's exact lines are in the app.

Luca Nardi against posted prop lines

Luca Nardi over and under record against posted lines
PropLinesO-U-POver %Avg lineAvg result
Games Won71-6-014%12.211.3
Total Games136-7-046%21.923.5

The main line stored for each match, for props listed on PrizePicks, Underdog or Dabble. A hit rate is not a profit, and small samples move a lot.

Luca Nardi against closing odds

Won, 19-18 in priced matches
51.4%
Average closing no-vig chance
54.0%
Gap in points, noise band ±15.3
-2.7
As favorite / as underdog
14-7 / 5-11

This gap sits inside the noise band, so chance alone could explain it. Across the tour, these gaps barely carry from one half of the year to the next. See ATP market beaters.

Luca Nardi last 10 matches

Luca Nardi last 10 finished matches
Oct 17Jacob FearnleyWorld No. 96L2-6 4-6OlbiaHardSF25618
Oct 16Michael MmohWorld No. 151W6-4 6-4OlbiaHardQF331220
Oct 14Lorenzo CarboniWorld No. 482W6-4 6-1OlbiaHardR16101217
Oct 13August HolmgrenWorld No. 236W4-6 6-4 6-4OlbiaHardR32751630
Oct 5Pablo Llamas RuizWorld No. 144L1-6 6-7VillenaHardR3234720
Jul 11Andrea GuerrieriWorld No. 227L3-6 6-7UmagClayQ127922
Jun 24Otto VirtanenWorld No. 137L4-6 4-6WimbledonGrassQ202820
Jun 22Rio NoguchiWorld No. 214W6-2 6-3WimbledonGrassQ1711217
Jun 15Remy BertolaWorld No. 196L6-3 6-7 6-7Nottingham 2GrassR32831835
Jun 14Giles HusseyWorld No. 294W6-3 6-2Nottingham 2GrassQ final121217

Luca Nardi stats FAQ

How many aces does Luca Nardi average?

4 per match over 39 matches in the last 52 weeks, with a median of 3 and a usual range of 0 to 8. The ATP tour average is 6.5.

What is Luca Nardi's hold percentage?

75.5% of service games, with a break rate of 26.7% on return. The ATP tour averages are 79.5% and 20.6%.

How many games do Luca Nardi's matches usually go?

23.9 total games in best-of-three matches, against 23.6 for the ATP tour.

What is Luca Nardi's best surface?

Indoor hard by win rate: 5-3 with 4.4 aces per match and 84.1% hold.

Has Luca Nardi beaten the betting market?

Luca Nardi won 51.4% of 37 priced matches against 54% implied at the close, a gap of -2.7 points. The noise band for that many matches is ±15.3, so chance alone could explain it.

When did Luca Nardi last play?

Oct 17, 2026, a loss to Jacob Fearnley at Olbia, 2-6 4-6.

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