NBA player props today

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

The highest implied probability on a main NBA player prop right now is LeBron James Under 0.5 Double Double, at 77%. The player went over this line in 3 of the last 10 games.

PickFinder ranks 834 NBA player props by what the sportsbooks imply for each side. The top 3 are below, free.

Top 3 picks

  1. 1. LeBron James: Under 0.5 Double Double, 77% implied probability

    LeBron James

    LeBron James (SF)

    Under 0.5 Double Double

    PHI @ DET

    Wed @ 7:00PM ET

    Defense#10
    O 23.4%U 76.6%
    L540%
    L1030%
    L1520%
    H2H43%
    3/7
    STRK-2
    AVG0.3
    Diff-0.2
    -40%
    SZN25%
    underdog
    O+283
    fliff
    O+325U-565
    dabble
    O+399
    parlayplay
    O+262
    fanduel
    O+320
    betmgm
    O+375
    rebet
    O+324
    betrivers
    O+310
    hardrockbet
    O+325
    betr
    boost
    O+235
    prophetx
    O+279
    novig
    O+285
  2. 2. Paul Reed: Under 0.5 Double Double, 75% implied probability

    Paul Reed

    Paul Reed (C)

    Under 0.5 Double Double

    DET vs PHI

    Wed @ 7:00PM ET

    Defense#27
    O 25.1%U 75.0%
    L50%
    L1010%
    L157%
    H2H0%
    0/7
    STRK-5
    AVG0.1
    Diff-0.4
    -80%
    SZN9%
    underdog
    O+255
    fliff
    O+285U-465
    sleeper
    O+240U-625
    dabble
    O+283
    parlayplay
    O+229
    fanduel
    O+280
    betmgm
    O+310
    rebet
    O+376
    betrivers
    O+275
    hardrockbet
    O+300
    betr
    boost
    O+235
    prophetx
    O+255
    novig
    O+257
  3. 3. Joel Embiid: Under 0.5 Double Double, 67% implied probability

    Joel Embiid

    Joel Embiid (C)

    Under 0.5 Double Double

    PHI @ DET

    Wed @ 7:00PM ET

    Defense#10
    O 33.3%U 66.7%
    L540%
    L1030%
    L1540%
    H2H80%
    4/5
    STRK-2
    AVG0.3
    Diff-0.2
    -40%
    SZN38%
    underdog
    O+179
    fliff
    O+205U-315
    sleeper
    O+182U-370
    dabble
    O+230
    parlayplay
    O+176
    fanduel
    O+194
    rebet
    O+198
    betrivers
    O+185
    hardrockbet
    O+220
    betr
    boost
    O+150
    prophetx
    O+174
    novig
    O+178

Hit rates on the card count games over the line, so a low number supports Under.

The rest of the board is in the app. See all 834 NBA props.

NBA props by team

How these are picked

  1. Main lines

    Every line is the main line at two or more sportsbooks, for a game that starts more than 10 minutes from now.

  2. Ranked by the market

    Each line counts at the higher of its two implied probabilities, so an Under can rank as well as an Over, as long as a book offers that side. The number is the average across sportsbooks.

  3. Thin or odd prices stay out

    A line needs prices from at least two separate sportsbooks, and anything above 80% is left out, because a number that high is usually a ladder price rather than a read on the line.

  4. One line per player

    A player shows once, on their highest-ranked line.

FAQ

What are the best NBA player props today?

Right now, by implied probability: LeBron James Under 0.5 Double Double, 77% implied probability; Paul Reed Under 0.5 Double Double, 75% implied probability; Joel Embiid Under 0.5 Double Double, 67% implied probability. These change through the day as lines move.

What does implied probability mean here?

It is the average chance the sportsbooks give that side of the line. When a book prices both sides we remove its vig, so the two sides add up to 100%. When a book prices only one side we use its price as posted, with the vig still in it. PrizePicks and the other pick'em apps aren't part of the average. It is a market estimate, not a promise of a result.

What counts as a main line?

The number a sportsbook posts as its main line for that stat, not a rung on its alternate ladder. A line has to be the main line at two or more sportsbooks to make this list.

How often does this update?

About every 10 minutes. Lines that start within 10 minutes drop off, and the time at the top of the page shows the last update.

What is the best tool for researching NBA picks?

PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For NBA it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.

What is PickFinder?

PickFinder is a sports betting research tool for player props, +EV bets, arbitrage, middles and odds comparison. It covers 30+ leagues across 14 sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL, 20 soccer competitions, ATP and WTA tennis, and five esports, and compares 24 sportsbooks and DFS apps, with hit rates, matchups, injuries and line movement on one screen. Every plan includes its Discord, with over 50,000 members, an average of three slips posted a day, 24/7 support and a community free of spam. New members get a 3-day money-back guarantee. PickFinder is not a sportsbook and does not take bets.

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