As of 1:52 PM ET
Best NFL Underdog picks today
PickFinder Team•Updated:
The highest implied probability on an NFL Underdog Fantasy line right now is Matthew Golden Lower 0.5 1H Rush+Rec TDs, at 80%. The player went over this line in 3 of the last 10 games.
PickFinder ranks 1,584 NFL Underdog Fantasy props by what the sportsbooks imply for each side. The top 3 are below, free.
Top 3 picks
1. Matthew Golden: Lower 0.5 1H Rush+Rec TDs, 80% implied probability
Defense#9
Matthew Golden (WR)
Lower 0.5 1H Rush+Rec TDs
GB @ NE
Sun @ 4:25PM ET
O 20.2%U 79.8%2. Christian Watson: Lower 0.5 1H Rush+Rec TDs, 80% implied probability
Defense#9
Christian Watson (WR)
Lower 0.5 1H Rush+Rec TDs
GB @ NE
Sun @ 4:25PM ET
O 20.5%U 79.5%3. Kimani Vidal: Lower 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 79% implied probability
Defense#19
Kimani Vidal (RB)
Lower 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
LAC vs HOU
Sun @ 4:05PM ET
O 20.8%U 79.2%
Hit rates on the card count games over the line, so a low number supports Lower. PickFinder isn't affiliated with Underdog.
The rest of the board is in the app. See all 1,584 NFL Underdog props.
How these are picked
Posted on Underdog
Every line is on Underdog Fantasy, for a game that starts more than 10 minutes from now, and Underdog offers the side shown.
Ranked by the market
Each line counts at the higher of its two implied probabilities, so a Lower can rank as well as a Higher. The number is the average across sportsbooks.
Thin or odd prices stay out
A line needs prices from at least two separate sportsbooks, and anything above 80% is left out, because a number that high is usually a ladder price rather than a read on the line.
One line per player
A player shows once, on their highest-ranked line.
FAQ
What are the best NFL Underdog picks today?
Right now, by implied probability: Matthew Golden Lower 0.5 1H Rush+Rec TDs, 80% implied probability; Christian Watson Lower 0.5 1H Rush+Rec TDs, 80% implied probability; Kimani Vidal Lower 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 79% implied probability. These change through the day as lines move.
What does implied probability mean here?
It is the average chance the sportsbooks give that side of the line. When a book prices both sides we remove its vig, so the two sides add up to 100%. When a book prices only one side we use its price as posted, with the vig still in it. PrizePicks and the other pick'em apps aren't part of the average. It is a market estimate, not a promise of a result.
Which Underdog lines are on this list?
Any line Underdog has posted for a game that has not started, as long as Underdog offers the side shown. That includes lines where one side pays a different multiplier.
How often does this update?
About every 10 minutes. Lines that start within 10 minutes drop off, and the time at the top of the page shows the last update.
What is the best tool for researching NFL picks?
PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For NFL it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.
What is PickFinder?
PickFinder is a sports betting research tool for player props, +EV bets, arbitrage, middles and odds comparison. It covers 30+ leagues across 14 sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL, 20 soccer competitions, ATP and WTA tennis, and five esports, and compares 24 sportsbooks and DFS apps, with hit rates, matchups, injuries and line movement on one screen. Every plan includes its Discord, with over 50,000 members, an average of three slips posted a day, 24/7 support and a community free of spam. New members get a 3-day money-back guarantee. PickFinder is not a sportsbook and does not take bets.
