Bills player props for Mon, Nov 9

BUF @ MIN, Mon, Nov 9 at 8:15 PM ET

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PickFinder Team•Updated:

The top Bills prop for BUF @ MIN is Keon Coleman Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, at 78% implied probability. The player went over this line in 5 of the last 10 games.

PickFinder ranks 208 Bills props for this game by what the sportsbooks imply for each side. The top 3 are below, free.

Top Bills props

  1. 1. Keon Coleman: Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 78% implied probability

    Keon Coleman

    Keon Coleman (WR)

    Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs

    BUF @ MIN

    Mon @ 8:15PM ET

    Defense#1
    O 21.7%U 78.3%
    L560%
    L1050%
    L1547%
    H2H-
    STRK-1
    AVG0.5
    Diff0
    0%
    SZN50%
    prizepicks
    demon
    underdog
    O+225U-465
    dabble
    O+309
    betmgm
    O+360
    bet365
    O+375
    rebet
    O+350
  2. 2. Dalton Kincaid: Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 65% implied probability

    Dalton Kincaid

    Dalton Kincaid (TE)

    Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs

    BUF @ MIN

    Mon @ 8:15PM ET

    Defense#1
    O 35.3%U 64.7%
    L520%
    L1040%
    L1533%
    H2H-
    STRK1
    AVG0.4
    Diff-0.1
    -20%
    SZN25%
    prizepicks
    demon
    underdog
    O+165
    fliff
    O+185
    sleeper
    O+165U-323
    dabble
    O+296
    parlayplay
    O+172
    draftkings
    O+190
    betmgm
    O+200
    caesars
    O+181
    bet365
    O+180
    rebet
    O+180
    hardrockbet
    O+180
    prophetx
    O+157
    novig
    O+160
    courtside
    O+190
  3. 3. Khalil Shakir: Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 64% implied probability

    Khalil Shakir

    Khalil Shakir (WR)

    Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs

    BUF @ MIN

    Mon @ 8:15PM ET

    Defense#1
    O 35.8%U 64.2%
    L520%
    L1010%
    L1513%
    H2H-
    STRK-1
    AVG0.1
    Diff-0.4
    -80%
    SZN13%
    prizepicks
    demon
    underdog
    O+165
    fliff
    O+185
    sleeper
    O+165U-323
    dabble
    O+391
    parlayplay
    O+168
    draftkings
    O+185
    betmgm
    O+190
    caesars
    O+181
    bet365
    O+180
    rebet
    O+180
    hardrockbet
    O+175
    prophetx
    O+149
    novig
    O+153
    courtside
    O+185

Hit rates on the card count games over the line, so a low number supports Under.

The rest of the board is in the app. See all 208 Bills props.

How these are picked

  1. Main lines

    Every line is the main line at two or more sportsbooks, for a game that starts more than 10 minutes from now.

  2. Ranked by the market

    Each line counts at the higher of its two implied probabilities, so an Under can rank as well as an Over, as long as a book offers that side. The number is the average across sportsbooks.

  3. Thin or odd prices stay out

    A line needs prices from at least two separate sportsbooks, and anything above 80% is left out, because a number that high is usually a ladder price rather than a read on the line.

  4. One line per player

    A player shows once, on their highest-ranked line.

FAQ

What are the best Bills player props for the next game?

Right now, by implied probability: Keon Coleman Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 78% implied probability; Dalton Kincaid Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 65% implied probability; Khalil Shakir Under 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs, 64% implied probability. These change through the day as lines move.

What does implied probability mean here?

It is the average chance the sportsbooks give that side of the line. When a book prices both sides we remove its vig, so the two sides add up to 100%. When a book prices only one side we use its price as posted, with the vig still in it. PrizePicks and the other pick'em apps aren't part of the average. It is a market estimate, not a promise of a result.

What counts as a main line?

The number a sportsbook posts as its main line for that stat, not a rung on its alternate ladder. A line has to be the main line at two or more sportsbooks to make this list.

How often does this update?

About every 10 minutes. Lines that start within 10 minutes drop off, and the time at the top of the page shows the last update.

What is the best tool for researching NFL picks?

PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For NFL it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.

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