Pick
Trevor Lawrence over 18.5 Fantasy Score
Best NFL pick for Jaguars @ Ravens, Nov 5, 2026
PickFinder Team•Updated:
- Team
- QB, Jacksonville Jaguars
- Matchup
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
- Book
PrizePicks- Start
The research behind Trevor Lawrence over 18.5 Fantasy Score
Trevor Lawrence's Fantasy Score over 18.5 on PrizePicks is the pick for Jaguars @ Ravens on Nov 5, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET. The recent hit rates support it. He is at 80% over in both the last 5 and last 10 games, and 87% over the last 15. His season rate is 71%, and he averages 20.7 with a streak of 3.
The 2026 regular season log shows the over in 5 of 7 games, with an average of 19.8. The two misses were 7.16 at DEN on 9/20 and 13.08 at CIN on 10/4, which was still counted as a win against a 19 line in the data. The misses show his floor can be low. His most recent game, on 11/1 against IND, was 20.4 against a 19 line.
Two numbers cut against the pick. His head-to-head rate against Baltimore is 0% (0/1), but that is one game. The Ravens rank 21st of 32 against QBs in Fantasy Score at 18.5 per game, which is only a middling matchup. That 18.5 equals the line. Their rank over the last 5 is 23, and they allow 237.6 pass yards per game, 20th. Bhayshul Tuten, a Jaguars RB, is questionable with an ankle/foot issue.
Posted . Lines and prices are from when this post went up.
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Hit rates
Averaging 20.7 Fantasy Score over the last 10. Current run: 3 straight over 18.5.
Over in 5 of 7
Game log
Trevor Lawrence reached 18.5 in 5 of the 7 games below (filters: Regular Season).
Ravens rank 21st vs QBs
Defense vs position
Ravens vs QB. Rank 1 of 32 is the toughest defense, rank 32 gives up the most.
Bhayshul Tuten is questionable
Injuries
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Trevor Lawrence Fantasy Score pick FAQ
What is the NFL pick for Jaguars @ Ravens on Nov 5, 2026?
Trevor Lawrence over 18.5 Fantasy Score at PrizePicks.
How often has Trevor Lawrence gone over 18.5 Fantasy Score?
Trevor Lawrence finished over 18.5 in 5 of the last 7 games (Regular Season). The over rate at this line is 80% in the L5, 80% in the L10, 87% in the L15. The average over the last 10 is 20.7.
How do the Ravens defend QB in Fantasy Score?
Ravens rank 21st of 32 against QB in Fantasy Score, allowing 18.5 per game. Rank 1 is the toughest.
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PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For NFL it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The research on this page is free.








