Soft spots
Softest WNBA matchups right now
PickFinder Team•Updated:
The softest WNBA matchup right now: the Los Angeles Sparks allow 2.7 assists per game to centers (15th of 15, league average 1.9). Next: the Los Angeles Sparks allow 10 points per game to guards (15th of 15, league average 8.9).
Getting softer: the Atlanta Dream gave up 10.2 rebounds per game to centers over their last 5, up from 6.1 on the season. Getting tougher: the Portland Fire, at 9.7 over the last 5 and 22.3 on the season. These are 2026 numbers through about 46 games per team.
Green means opponents put up more of that stat, red means less. Ranks are never flipped, so a high rank on a stat like turnovers means opponents turn it over more against this team.
Softest matchups
Position and stat pairs in the last 25% of the league where the last 5 games are still above average. Sorted by how far the number sits from the league average for that exact pair, out of 210 checked.
 Los Angeles Sparks | C Assists | 2.715th | 2.312th | 1.9 | +42% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | G Points | 1015th | 9.39th | 8.9 | +12% |
 Phoenix Mercury | G Assists | 315th | 3.515th | 2.6 | +15% |
 Seattle Storm | F Pts+Rebs+Asts | 1715th | 20.315th | 14.8 | +15% |
 New York Liberty | F 3-PT Made | 1.113th | 0.96th | 0.9 | +22% |
| Phoenix Mercury | F 3-PT Made | 1.113th | 1.213th | 0.9 | +22% |
| Seattle Storm | F 3-PT Made | 1.113th | 1.315th | 0.9 | +22% |
 Minnesota Lynx | G 3-PT Made | 1.315th | 1.310th | 1.1 | +18% |
 Toronto Tempo | G Assists | 2.913th | 3.314th | 2.6 | +12% |
| New York Liberty | F Points | 10.314th | 9.911th | 9.1 | +13% |
 Chicago Sky | F Rebounds | 4.514th | 4.612th | 4.1 | +10% |
 Connecticut Sun | C Points | 12.214th | 15.615th | 10.8 | +13% |
 Indiana Fever | F Points | 10.113th | 11.514th | 9.1 | +11% |
| Toronto Tempo | G Pts+Rebs+Asts | 14.514th | 16.713th | 13.7 | +6% |
| Minnesota Lynx | G Assists | 2.812th | 2.911th | 2.6 | +8% |
| Connecticut Sun | C Pts+Rebs+Asts | 20.514th | 24.715th | 19.0 | +8% |
| Indiana Fever | F Pts+Rebs+Asts | 15.913th | 1813th | 14.8 | +7% |
 Portland Fire | G 3-PT Made | 1.212th | 1.413th | 1.1 | +9% |
| Chicago Sky | C Points | 11.712th | 13.314th | 10.8 | +8% |
| Portland Fire | F Pts+Rebs+Asts | 15.812th | 17.112th | 14.8 | +7% |
Getting softer
The last 5 games are at least 12% above the team's season number, and now in the softer part of the league. Teams with at least 8 games only.
 Atlanta Dream | C Rebounds | 6.14th | 10.215th | +67% |
 Dallas Wings | G Pts+Rebs+Asts | 13.76th | 17.615th | +28% |
| Dallas Wings | G Points | 8.98th | 11.715th | +31% |
 Las Vegas Aces | G Rebounds | 2.38th | 3.115th | +35% |
| Atlanta Dream | G Rebounds | 2.23rd | 2.912th | +32% |
 Golden State Valkyries | G Rebounds | 2.38th | 314th | +30% |
| Toronto Tempo | G 3-PT Made | 1.212th | 1.815th | +50% |
| Las Vegas Aces | G Points | 9.212th | 11.614th | +26% |
| New York Liberty | F Rebounds | 4.19th | 5.214th | +27% |
| New York Liberty | F Assists | 214th | 2.915th | +45% |
| Toronto Tempo | G Rebounds | 2.23rd | 2.710th | +23% |
| Golden State Valkyries | C Assists | 1.87th | 2.615th | +44% |
Getting tougher
The last 5 games are at least 12% below the team's season number, and now in the tougher part of the league. A season average can hide this.
| Portland Fire | C Pts+Rebs+Asts | 22.315th | 9.72nd | -57% |
| Portland Fire | C Points | 13.415th | 52nd | -63% |
| Atlanta Dream | C Assists | 210th | 0.51st | -75% |
| Dallas Wings | F Rebounds | 4.413th | 2.91st | -34% |
| Chicago Sky | G Rebounds | 2.514th | 1.81st | -28% |
| Atlanta Dream | G 3-PT Made | 14th | 0.41st | -60% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | G Assists | 2.711th | 1.91st | -30% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | F 3-PT Made | 0.95th | 0.51st | -44% |
| Indiana Fever | C Pts+Rebs+Asts | 16.61st | 9.61st | -42% |
| Dallas Wings | C Points | 11.712th | 6.96th | -41% |
| Seattle Storm | C Points | 9.52nd | 4.81st | -49% |
| Las Vegas Aces | F Assists | 1.31st | 0.51st | -62% |
Most exposed defenses
How many of the main position and stat pairs put this team in the league's bottom five. A team on this list gives up production across several roles, not one.
| Portland Fire | 11 | C Points: 13.4 (15th), C Pts+Rebs+Asts: 22.3 (15th) |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 8 | C Assists: 2.7 (15th), G Points: 10 (15th) |
| Phoenix Mercury | 6 | G Assists: 3 (15th), F 3-PT Made: 1.1 (13th) |
| Seattle Storm | 6 | F Pts+Rebs+Asts: 17 (15th), F Rebounds: 4.6 (15th) |
| Toronto Tempo | 6 | G Assists: 2.9 (13th), G Pts+Rebs+Asts: 14.5 (14th) |
| New York Liberty | 5 | F 3-PT Made: 1.1 (13th), F Points: 10.3 (14th) |
| Chicago Sky | 5 | F Rebounds: 4.5 (14th), G Rebounds: 2.5 (14th) |
| Indiana Fever | 4 | F Points: 10.1 (13th), F Pts+Rebs+Asts: 15.9 (13th) |
Using soft spots on a prop
Match the spot to tonight's games
The top row is the Los Angeles Sparks against centers on assists. It only matters if the Los Angeles Sparks are playing and the opposing center has a line on that stat.
Read the gap
The Los Angeles Sparks allow 2.7 per game, 42% above the league's 1.9, and 15th of 15.
Check it is still true
Over the last 5 games the number is 2.3, 12th in the league. If it has dropped a lot, the defense may have changed.
Then check the player
Open the player in the app: how they have done against today's exact line, who is out, and which book has the best price.
How this is counted
We check the main prop stats at each position for every team with at least 27 games: 210 team, position and stat pairs. A soft spot is in the last 25% of the league on the season with a last 5 still above average, sorted by distance from the league average for that pair in standard deviations. Getting softer or tougher needs 8+ games, a gap of at least 12% between the last 5 and the season, and a last 5 rank on the matching end of the league. Computed each morning from every box score of the season, preseason excluded, and refreshed here by 8:40 AM ET.
Soft spots FAQ
What is the softest WNBA matchup right now?
The Los Angeles Sparks allow 2.7 assists per game to centers (15th of 15, league average 1.9). That is 42% above average. These are 2026 numbers through about 46 games per team.
Which WNBA defense is getting worse?
The Atlanta Dream have the biggest jump against centers on rebounds: 10.2 per game over the last 5, against 6.1 on the season.
Which WNBA defense is getting better?
The Portland Fire have the biggest drop against centers on points + rebounds + assists: 9.7 per game over the last 5, against 22.3 on the season.
Which WNBA defense is the most exposed overall?
The Portland Fire: 11 of the main position and stat pairs land in the league's bottom five.
How is a soft spot chosen?
A team must be in the last 25% of the league on that exact position and stat, and its last 5 games must still be above average. The list sorts by how far the number sits from the league average for that pair, in standard deviations, so a stat with small numbers cannot crowd out the rest. It is research, not a promise of how a game goes.
What is the best tool for researching WNBA picks?
PickFinder is a sports betting research tool built for this. For WNBA it shows hit rates against today's exact line, matchup data and line movement, and compares prices across 24 books and apps. It covers 30+ leagues in all, with a 3-day money-back guarantee, and we make it, so test it against anything else you use. The rankings on this page are free.
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